Will Merkel ever steer the EU migration Titanic and restore her power in Germany?

Ms Angela MERKEL, German Federal Chancellor. Location: Brussels - BELGIUM Date: 29/06/2016. © European Union , 2016 / Source: EC – Audiovisual Service

Ms Angela MERKEL, German Federal Chancellor.
Location: Brussels – BELGIUM. Date: 29/06/2016.
© European Union , 2016 / Source: EC – Audiovisual Service

Angela Merkel’s meeting with Recep Tayyip Erdogan in the sidelines of the 11th G20 Summit held in China on 4-5 September was crucial for her political future. The German Chancellor and her party seem to be losing ground, particularly in Mecklenburg-West Pomerania due to their migration policies.

The Christian Democratic Union of Germany lost 4 percentage points compared to its 2011 performance and was overtaken by the anti-immigrant Alternative for Germany party. The latter made the discussions with the Turkish President even more imperative.

The Chancellor mentioned that the EU and Ankara may come to an agreement on the visa free travel access for Turkish citizens in the coming weeks. That comes just after Turkey’s EU Affairs Minister had stated last Saturday that Turkey will continue implementing the migration crisis agreement with the European Union but will not make further actions unless visa deliberations are granted in exchange.

Thus, the talks between the EU and Turkey seem to be paying off given the fact that Turkey starts taking back its threats about dropping the migration deal on October. What could be the reason? Will the EU grant visa deliberations to Turkish citizens in addition to financial aid or did Turkey suddenly realise that it cannot blackmail, at least for the moment, the EU?

Turkey changes its stance

The Turkish government has been openly threatening that the migration deal which was signed last March will be cancelled in case the EU will not provide visa free travel to Turkish citizens until October. But now it seems that Turkey has eased its position on this matter finally realising that nothing is going to be implemented without the fulfilment of the remaining six of the 72 EU prerequisites.

More specifically, Omer Celik, Turkey’s Europe minister, said in a press conference last Saturday: “We will continue to implement it (migration deal) out of humanitarian reasons. Without visa liberalisation, Turkey will not be part of any new mechanism”. Furthermore, Omer Celik mentioned that the death penalty is not “on the agenda” in an attempt to calm things down between the two sides.

However, it is certain that Turkey will not change its anti-terror law which is among the conditions to deliver visa free travel access to Turkey. As Turkey’s Europe minister said: “It is not rational to expect from Turkey to make any change in Turkish anti-terror law in current circumstances”.

EU urges G20 leaders to address migration crisis

During the first day of the G20 Summit the president of the European Commission (EC) together with the president of the European Council held a joint press conference where both expressed their concern on migration crisis.

Jean-Claude Juncker mentioned that the EC is planning to address this long-lasting issue by tackling its root causes and is preparing an External Investment Plan where public funds will generate private investments. The EC plans to sum up 3,1 billion euros till 2020 which are about to trigger additional public and private investments of up to 31 billion euros. However, the point is whether private investors or member states will be persuaded to place their money on this Plan. It seems that mainly countries such as Germany have the financial means to contribute adequately but it remains yet to be seen whether they will do it or not.

Donald Tusk also pointed out that Europe is “close to its limits” regarding migrants’ capacities and further aid from non-European countries is extremely required. The solution of the migration crisis lies certainly on its root causes and the G20 should be capable of providing practical solutions to this issue.

Will the EU keep depending on Turkey or it is time for Plan B?

All in all, it is clear that Turkey has no intent to alter its anti-terror laws which is a perennial condition on granting Turks with visa free travel access. The threats of stepping out of the migration agreement seem to fade away at the moment the EU appears to stand for its adamant position. But for how long will this last? It is critical for the EU to find an ally that can rely on and not someone who is not sharing the same values.

The Investment Plan that the EC is preparing extensively in order to reduce the influx of the migration waves is something that will certainly need a lot of time to be implemented and to be tested in practice.

The past has shown that Europe cannot face the migration crisis alone. Turkey is and will play a decisive role on this matter and financial assistance is not going to be enough for the Turkish government to accept to slow down the migration crisis.

Europe will be most likely forced to change now its prerequisites in favor of Turkey in order to manage the migration crisis and reduce the popularity of the extreme right parties until a more permanent solution is found; a solution which does not include Turkey.

Advertising

Advertising

Advertising

Advertising

Advertising

Advertising

Advertising

Advertising

Advertising

Featured Stings

MWC 2016 LIVE: Mobile Connect availability hits 2B

EU: Protecting victims’ rights from cartels and market abuses

Failing to see reality or deceiving the masses? The EU about poverty and social exclusion

#TwitterisblockedinTurkey and so is Erdogan

All talk but no action against fraudulent bankers

Court of Auditors: EU budget money is there to be spent not to create value

COP21 Breaking News_03 December: Unprecedented Global Alliance for Buildings and Construction to Combat Climate Change

A Sting Exclusive: “The Chinese economy is steady and moving in the right direction”, Ambassador Yang of the Chinese Mission to EU underscores from Brussels

Can one FTA and 110 lobby meetings make the dirty oil clean in Europe?

European Youth Forum welcomes the European Commission’s proposed revision of the Union Code on Visas, however it does not go far enough

On Grexit: Incompetence just launched the historic Ultimatum that could open “pandora’s box”

Medical Doctors in Industry 4.0: pure science fiction

EU-US trade deal: Europe to Americanize its social model?

Finance for SMEs: Alternative supply mechanisms do exist

Cyprus Parliament says no to blackmail

Commission tries to solidify the EU statistical system

The EU seals CETA but plans to re-baptise TTIP after missing the 2016 deadline

Azeri natural gas will keep the EU warm soon

Parliament cuts own spending to facilitate agreement on EU budget

Europe must regain its place as world leader in digital technology

MWC 2016 LIVE: Under Armour learns from “robust community of data”

Irish Presidency: Not a euro more for EU budgets

Intel, Almunia and 1 billion euros for unfair potatoes

Will Europe be a different place this Monday?

Commission publishes the first report on the issuance of a Eurobond

A Sting Exclusive: “Junior Enterprises themselves carry out projects focusing on the environment”, JADE President Daniela Runchi highlights from Brussels

Galileo funding: A ‘small’ difference of €700 million

Responsible Artificial Intelligence

Macro-Financial Assistance: Europe’s way to control Ukraine?

The 28 EU leaders unable to start a relevant debate on migration and Brexit

What next after more sanctions against Russia, will the Ukrainian civil war end?

Is the West gradually losing Africa?

A Sting Exclusive: “Paris is the moment for climate justice”, Swedish MEP Linnéa Engström claims from Brussels

EU’s new environmental policy on biofuels impacts both the environment and the European citizen

European Court of Justice to Google: It is #righttobeforgotten but not #righttoberemembered

Draghi drafts a plan to donate more money to bankers, the era of ‘money for nothin’ is flourishing

Joris in Indonesia

Glaringly false reassurances about the repercussions of the EU-US free trade agreement

A Sting Exclusive: China’s Foreign Minister Wang Yi on South China Sea issue at the ASEAN Regional Forum

The EU Commission does nothing about the food retailing oligopoly

The issue of health literacy and how it affects European health policies

Education and Training: where do we stand in 2014?

EU to lead one more fight against climate change at G7 summit

Earthquake: Monte Dei Paschi Di Siena

Ukraine: Is there a political force able to undo the division?

EC v Samsung: A whole year to compile a case

Arlington, USA: kick-off of the fifth round of the EU-US boxing match

Vendor Pulse – 2000

Draghi indirectly accuses Germany of using double standards in financial issues

Europe’s richest regions actively seek investment from China’s biggest banks

Innovation and Entrepreneurship Changing the Face of Europe

The Ecofin Council creates officially the clan of ‘undead’ banks

Forget about growth without a level playing field for all SMEs

How China Mended My Heart

A new global financial crisis develops fast; who denies it?

European Business Summit 2014: Sting Report, Day I

COP21 Breaking News_04 December: Launch of CREWS, climate risk & early warning systems

The EU threatens to occupy Libya militarily; is another colonial war brewing?

Britain heading to national schism on exit from EU

Why growth is now a one way road for Eurozone

More Stings?

Speak your Mind Here

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s