Will Merkel ever steer the EU migration Titanic and restore her power in Germany?

Ms Angela MERKEL, German Federal Chancellor. Location: Brussels - BELGIUM Date: 29/06/2016. © European Union , 2016 / Source: EC – Audiovisual Service

Ms Angela MERKEL, German Federal Chancellor.
Location: Brussels – BELGIUM. Date: 29/06/2016.
© European Union , 2016 / Source: EC – Audiovisual Service

Angela Merkel’s meeting with Recep Tayyip Erdogan in the sidelines of the 11th G20 Summit held in China on 4-5 September was crucial for her political future. The German Chancellor and her party seem to be losing ground, particularly in Mecklenburg-West Pomerania due to their migration policies.

The Christian Democratic Union of Germany lost 4 percentage points compared to its 2011 performance and was overtaken by the anti-immigrant Alternative for Germany party. The latter made the discussions with the Turkish President even more imperative.

The Chancellor mentioned that the EU and Ankara may come to an agreement on the visa free travel access for Turkish citizens in the coming weeks. That comes just after Turkey’s EU Affairs Minister had stated last Saturday that Turkey will continue implementing the migration crisis agreement with the European Union but will not make further actions unless visa deliberations are granted in exchange.

Thus, the talks between the EU and Turkey seem to be paying off given the fact that Turkey starts taking back its threats about dropping the migration deal on October. What could be the reason? Will the EU grant visa deliberations to Turkish citizens in addition to financial aid or did Turkey suddenly realise that it cannot blackmail, at least for the moment, the EU?

Turkey changes its stance

The Turkish government has been openly threatening that the migration deal which was signed last March will be cancelled in case the EU will not provide visa free travel to Turkish citizens until October. But now it seems that Turkey has eased its position on this matter finally realising that nothing is going to be implemented without the fulfilment of the remaining six of the 72 EU prerequisites.

More specifically, Omer Celik, Turkey’s Europe minister, said in a press conference last Saturday: “We will continue to implement it (migration deal) out of humanitarian reasons. Without visa liberalisation, Turkey will not be part of any new mechanism”. Furthermore, Omer Celik mentioned that the death penalty is not “on the agenda” in an attempt to calm things down between the two sides.

However, it is certain that Turkey will not change its anti-terror law which is among the conditions to deliver visa free travel access to Turkey. As Turkey’s Europe minister said: “It is not rational to expect from Turkey to make any change in Turkish anti-terror law in current circumstances”.

EU urges G20 leaders to address migration crisis

During the first day of the G20 Summit the president of the European Commission (EC) together with the president of the European Council held a joint press conference where both expressed their concern on migration crisis.

Jean-Claude Juncker mentioned that the EC is planning to address this long-lasting issue by tackling its root causes and is preparing an External Investment Plan where public funds will generate private investments. The EC plans to sum up 3,1 billion euros till 2020 which are about to trigger additional public and private investments of up to 31 billion euros. However, the point is whether private investors or member states will be persuaded to place their money on this Plan. It seems that mainly countries such as Germany have the financial means to contribute adequately but it remains yet to be seen whether they will do it or not.

Donald Tusk also pointed out that Europe is “close to its limits” regarding migrants’ capacities and further aid from non-European countries is extremely required. The solution of the migration crisis lies certainly on its root causes and the G20 should be capable of providing practical solutions to this issue.

Will the EU keep depending on Turkey or it is time for Plan B?

All in all, it is clear that Turkey has no intent to alter its anti-terror laws which is a perennial condition on granting Turks with visa free travel access. The threats of stepping out of the migration agreement seem to fade away at the moment the EU appears to stand for its adamant position. But for how long will this last? It is critical for the EU to find an ally that can rely on and not someone who is not sharing the same values.

The Investment Plan that the EC is preparing extensively in order to reduce the influx of the migration waves is something that will certainly need a lot of time to be implemented and to be tested in practice.

The past has shown that Europe cannot face the migration crisis alone. Turkey is and will play a decisive role on this matter and financial assistance is not going to be enough for the Turkish government to accept to slow down the migration crisis.

Europe will be most likely forced to change now its prerequisites in favor of Turkey in order to manage the migration crisis and reduce the popularity of the extreme right parties until a more permanent solution is found; a solution which does not include Turkey.

Advertising

Advertising

Advertising

Advertising

Advertising

Advertising

the sting Milestone

Featured Stings

Can we feed everyone without unleashing disaster? Read on

These campaigners want to give a quarter of the UK back to nature

How to build a more resilient and inclusive global system

Stopping antimicrobial resistance would cost just USD 2 per person a year

DRC ‘calm but tense’ as country awaits presidential election result

4 ways blockchain will transform the mining and metals industry

Mergers: Commission clears Telia’s acquisition of Bonnier Broadcasting, subject to conditions

To achieve net-zero carbon cities and buildings we need systemic efficiency

Does the sharing economy truly know how to share?

Hackers are causing blackouts. It’s time to boost our cyber resilience

New labour laws in Qatar benefiting migrant workers a ‘momentous step forward’: ILO

Guinea-Bissau spotlights threats of organized crime, Sahel terrorism in speech to UN Assembly

Parliament votes reform for better European Co2 market but critics want it sooner than later

Dear Davos: time to declare an emergency opportunity for people and planet

Venezuela: Competing US, Russia resolutions fail to pass in Security Council

Memoirs from a unique trip to China: “my new old dragon” (Part II)

Can the EU really make Google and Facebook pay publishers and media?

Secretary-General upholds value of UN Charter for a world in turmoil

Around 2.5 billion more people will be living in cities by 2050, projects new UN report

CLIMATE CHANGE FOCUS: The fruits of sustainability and decent work

Talent, not technology, is the key to success in a digital future

Tuesday’s Daily Brief: Guterres calls for restraint in Venezuela, Jazz Day, the importance of breastfeeding, and updates from Libya, Iran and Mozambique

‘Maintain calm’ and ‘exercise patience’ UN envoy urges, as Nigeria heads to polls

Treaty prohibiting nuclear weapons marks first anniversary, but still lacks sufficient numbers to become law

Young health workforce – a core of effective primary healthcare?

Immigrants make good entrepreneurs. This study proves it

Inspiring young doctors: the beginning of the change

World faces ‘climate apartheid’ risk, 120 more million in poverty: UN expert

The US and EU decisively oppose Erdogan’s plans for Turkey and beyond

The AI moment: preparing for the revolution

Abu Dhabi is investing $250 million in tech start-ups

We are ‘burning up our future’, UN’s Bachelet tells Human Rights Council

Boris as UK Premier to be cornered if attempting a no-deal Brexit

Forced pregnancy in Italy violated ‘woman’s human right to health’, UN experts rule

Commission and OECD present recommendations to help EU countries and regions achieve industrial transition

8 amazing facts to help you understand China today

How a bionic arm is helping one little girl enjoy the things most take for granted

Nigeria: UN chief ‘appalled’ by killing of aid worker; calls for release of remaining hostages

Fighting crime: faster EU-wide exchange of non-EU nationals’ criminal records

Towards a climate-neutral Europe: EU invests over €10bn in innovative clean technologies

Will Boris Johnson’s victory lead to a no-deal Brexit or is there still time?

Global Citizen-Volunteer Internships

Parliament boosts efforts to improve its environmental performance

‘Real change’ involving women in peace and security, still too slow, Guterres tells Security Council

Blockchain is facing a backlash. Can it survive?

‘Unprecedented terrorist violence’ in West Africa, Sahel region

‘Jerusalem is not for sale’ Palestinian President Abbas tells world leaders at UN Assembly

Copyright: MEPs update rules for the digital age

A roadmap for destination management in the digital economy

Mental Health Policy, a significant driver for growth

‘Staunch support’ for Iran nuclear deal tempered by concern over missile testing

EU-U.S. Trade Talks: European Commission presents draft negotiating mandates

World Food Day: here’s what the UN is doing to fix ‘intolerable’ wrong of hunger

European Youth Capital 2019 announced: Novi Sad, Serbia

‘Pioneering’ former Chilean President Michelle Bachelet officially appointed new UN human rights chief

8 fascinating and fearsome frontiers of science you should know about

Somalia’s population, international partners must be energized to sustain country’s ‘upward trajectory,’ says senior UN official

Pumping more money into banks but leaving them unregulated doesn’t help

EU-Ukraine Free Trade Agreement sees the light as Moscow’s reaction once more looms

UN working with both sides, after hidden tunnels confirmed along Lebanon-Israel ‘Blue Line’

Managers’ pay under fire

How to stop plastic pollution at source

Copyright: European Union , 2017; Source: EC - Audiovisual Service; Photo: Frank Molter

EU hits deadlock on the future of glyphosate a month before deadline

On flight to sustainable development, ‘leave no country behind’, urges aviation agency

More Stings?

Speak your Mind Here

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out /  Change )

Google photo

You are commenting using your Google account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )

Connecting to %s