Will Merkel ever steer the EU migration Titanic and restore her power in Germany?

Ms Angela MERKEL, German Federal Chancellor. Location: Brussels - BELGIUM Date: 29/06/2016. © European Union , 2016 / Source: EC – Audiovisual Service

Ms Angela MERKEL, German Federal Chancellor.
Location: Brussels – BELGIUM. Date: 29/06/2016.
© European Union , 2016 / Source: EC – Audiovisual Service

Angela Merkel’s meeting with Recep Tayyip Erdogan in the sidelines of the 11th G20 Summit held in China on 4-5 September was crucial for her political future. The German Chancellor and her party seem to be losing ground, particularly in Mecklenburg-West Pomerania due to their migration policies.

The Christian Democratic Union of Germany lost 4 percentage points compared to its 2011 performance and was overtaken by the anti-immigrant Alternative for Germany party. The latter made the discussions with the Turkish President even more imperative.

The Chancellor mentioned that the EU and Ankara may come to an agreement on the visa free travel access for Turkish citizens in the coming weeks. That comes just after Turkey’s EU Affairs Minister had stated last Saturday that Turkey will continue implementing the migration crisis agreement with the European Union but will not make further actions unless visa deliberations are granted in exchange.

Thus, the talks between the EU and Turkey seem to be paying off given the fact that Turkey starts taking back its threats about dropping the migration deal on October. What could be the reason? Will the EU grant visa deliberations to Turkish citizens in addition to financial aid or did Turkey suddenly realise that it cannot blackmail, at least for the moment, the EU?

Turkey changes its stance

The Turkish government has been openly threatening that the migration deal which was signed last March will be cancelled in case the EU will not provide visa free travel to Turkish citizens until October. But now it seems that Turkey has eased its position on this matter finally realising that nothing is going to be implemented without the fulfilment of the remaining six of the 72 EU prerequisites.

More specifically, Omer Celik, Turkey’s Europe minister, said in a press conference last Saturday: “We will continue to implement it (migration deal) out of humanitarian reasons. Without visa liberalisation, Turkey will not be part of any new mechanism”. Furthermore, Omer Celik mentioned that the death penalty is not “on the agenda” in an attempt to calm things down between the two sides.

However, it is certain that Turkey will not change its anti-terror law which is among the conditions to deliver visa free travel access to Turkey. As Turkey’s Europe minister said: “It is not rational to expect from Turkey to make any change in Turkish anti-terror law in current circumstances”.

EU urges G20 leaders to address migration crisis

During the first day of the G20 Summit the president of the European Commission (EC) together with the president of the European Council held a joint press conference where both expressed their concern on migration crisis.

Jean-Claude Juncker mentioned that the EC is planning to address this long-lasting issue by tackling its root causes and is preparing an External Investment Plan where public funds will generate private investments. The EC plans to sum up 3,1 billion euros till 2020 which are about to trigger additional public and private investments of up to 31 billion euros. However, the point is whether private investors or member states will be persuaded to place their money on this Plan. It seems that mainly countries such as Germany have the financial means to contribute adequately but it remains yet to be seen whether they will do it or not.

Donald Tusk also pointed out that Europe is “close to its limits” regarding migrants’ capacities and further aid from non-European countries is extremely required. The solution of the migration crisis lies certainly on its root causes and the G20 should be capable of providing practical solutions to this issue.

Will the EU keep depending on Turkey or it is time for Plan B?

All in all, it is clear that Turkey has no intent to alter its anti-terror laws which is a perennial condition on granting Turks with visa free travel access. The threats of stepping out of the migration agreement seem to fade away at the moment the EU appears to stand for its adamant position. But for how long will this last? It is critical for the EU to find an ally that can rely on and not someone who is not sharing the same values.

The Investment Plan that the EC is preparing extensively in order to reduce the influx of the migration waves is something that will certainly need a lot of time to be implemented and to be tested in practice.

The past has shown that Europe cannot face the migration crisis alone. Turkey is and will play a decisive role on this matter and financial assistance is not going to be enough for the Turkish government to accept to slow down the migration crisis.

Europe will be most likely forced to change now its prerequisites in favor of Turkey in order to manage the migration crisis and reduce the popularity of the extreme right parties until a more permanent solution is found; a solution which does not include Turkey.

Advertising

Advertising

Advertising

Advertising

Advertising

Advertising

Advertising

Advertising

Advertising

Advertising

Advertising

Advertising

Advertising

Advertising

Advertising

Advertising

Featured Stings

Τhe EU Refugee Crisis: a day in the life of a Refugee in Greece

Much more than a ‘lifeline’ for millions of households, remittances can spur global growth, says UN agency

Why Eurozone urgently needs the ECB to print and distribute at least €500 billion

A Sting Exclusive: “The Chinese economy is steady and moving in the right direction”, Ambassador Yang of the Chinese Mission to EU underscores from Brussels

FEATURE: Niger’s girls find sanctuary in fistula treatment centres

Brexit talks: 2nd round fails to bring the EU and the UK closer on key issues

Why Commissioner Rehn wants us all to work more for less

Scotland in United Kingdom: It’s either the end or the beginning of the end

ECB money bonanza not enough to revive euro area, Germany longs to rule with stagnation

EU and Amazon cut deal to end antitrust investigation over e-books deals

We’ll succeed together

Is “Sustainable Development” a concept that integrates Health Literacy and Health Policy as a global health action?

EU and China discuss economic and trade relations at the 7th High-level Economic and Trade Dialogue

The ECB proposes a swift solution for SMEs’ financing

The Next Web 2014, the biggest European conference on Internet so far and the Absence of Brussels from Amsterdam

Assault on key Yemeni port would endanger 300,000 children and ‘choke off’ aid for millions more: UNICEF chief

Managing and resolving conflicts in a politically inclined group of team members

How much time has the ‘European Union of last chance’ left?

AIESEC @ European Business Summit 2014: The Digital Era: A New Business Frontier

Opening – Parliament expresses support for victims of Fuego volcano in Guatemala

UN chief welcomes resolution to 27-year-old disagreement over renaming the former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia

The European Sting writes down the history LIVE from G20 Leaders’ Summit in Turkey

The representatives of the regions and the cities know better what the EU needs on migration, trade, poverty and taxation

EU Trade Ministers come together in a desperate attempt to save TTIP

EU Leaders’ meeting in Sofia: Completing a trusted Digital Single Market for the benefit of all

MWC 2016 LIVE: The top 5 themes of this year’s Mobile World Congress

UK: Crawley group wins European Citizens’ Prize

ECB to people: Not responsible if you lose money on Bitcoin, your governments are

Following the World Cup? Then you’re watching high-performing migrants at work

The vehicles of our future

Cyber attacks are shutting down countries, cities and companies. Here’s how to stop them

Here are three ways blockchain can change refugees’ lives

UNICEF delivers medical supplies to Gaza in wake of deadly protests

Court of Auditors: EU spending infested with errors well above the materiality threshold of 2%

“Who do I call if I want to call Europe?” Finally a name and a number to answer Henry Kissinger’s question

Trump’s trade war splits the EU; Germany upset with Juncker’s “we can be stupid too”

ITU Telecom World 2017: exploring smart digital transformation

Google once more under EU crossfire from a possible record fine and new Right to be forgotten case

Commission to decide on bank resolution issues

These charts show where the world’s refugees came from in 2017 – and where they’re heading

France v Croatia: How the World Cup finalists stack up off the pitch

Venezuela: Parliament calls for urgent EU help for people fleeing the country

I’m not feeling lucky: The “Right to Be Forgotten” ruling puts Google inside a box

G20 LIVE: G20 Leaders’ Communiqué Antalya Summit, 15-16 November 2015

Germany not famous for easy way outs from political stalemates

Draghi tells the EU Parliament his relaxed policies are here to stay

These countries are all building brand-new cities

Lithuania finds the ways to maintain its energy security

The EU Parliament and the ECB unknowingly or unwillingly fail to protect our financial assets

How blockchain can manage the future electricity grid

EU’s tougher privacy rules: WhatsApp and Facebook set to be soon aligned with telcos

ECB to support only banks not Peoples

Containers at the port of Tokyo. (Copyright: European Union, 2016. Source: EC - Audiovisual Service. Photo: Haruyoshi Yamaguchi)

EU cuts fast-track free trade deals with Japan and Singapore and leads the trade scene

Latin America’s cities are ready to take off. But their infrastructure is failing them

Brexit uncertainty keeps shaking the world’s financial markets

AI has huge potential – but it won’t solve all our problems

The EU to bear the cost of eventual sanctions against Russia

MWC 2016 LIVE: Ericsson/Cisco partnership on track, insist execs

UK’s PM Theresa May asks for a two-year Brexit transition plan as negotiations round kicks off

Eurozone cannot endure any longer youth marginalisation

More Stings?

Speak your Mind Here

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out /  Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )

Connecting to %s