Spring 2023 Economic Forecast: An improved outlook amid persistent challenges

This article is brought to you in association with the European Commission. The European economy continues to show resilience in a challenging global context. Lower energy prices, abating supply constraints and a strong labour market supported moderate growth in the first quarter of 2023, dispelling fears of a recession. This better-than-expected start to the year lifts […]

Winter 2023 Economic Forecast: EU economy set to avoid recession, but headwinds persist

This article is brought to you in association with the European Commission. Almost one year after Russia launched its war of aggression against Ukraine, the EU economy entered 2023 on a better footing than projected in autumn. The Winter interim Forecast lifts the growth outlook for this year to 0.8% in the EU and 0.9% in […]

Summer 2022 Economic Forecast: Russia’s war worsens the outlook

This article is brought to you in association with the European Commission. Russia’s war of aggression against Ukraine continues to negatively affect the EU economy, setting it on a path of lower growth and higher inflation compared to the Spring Forecast. The Summer 2022 (interim) Economic Forecast projects that the EU economy will grow by 2.7% […]

Winter 2022 Economic Forecast: Growth expected to regain traction after winter slowdown

This article is brought to you in association with the European Commission. The Winter 2022 Economic Forecast projects that, following a notable expansion by 5.3% in 2021, the EU economy will grow by 4.0% in 2022 and 2.8% in 2023. Growth in the euro area is also expected at 4.0% in 2022, moderating to 2.7% in […]

Autumn 2021 Economic Forecast: From recovery to expansion, amid headwinds

This article is brought to you in association with the European Commission. The EU economy is rebounding from the pandemic recession faster than expected. As vaccination campaigns progressed and restrictions started to be lifted, growth resumed in spring and continued unabated through summer, underpinned by the re-opening of the economy. Despite mounting headwinds, the EU economy […]

Summer 2021 Economic Forecast: Reopening fuels recovery

This article is brought to you in association with the European Commission. The European economy is forecast to rebound faster than previously expected, as activity in the first quarter of the year exceeded expectations and the improved health situation prompted a swifter easing of pandemic control restrictions in the second quarter.  Faster economic growth as economies […]

Spring 2021 Economic Forecast: Rolling up sleeves

This article is brought to you in association with the European Commission. The Spring 2021 Economic Forecast projects that the EU economy will expand by 4.2% in 2021 and by 4.4% in 2022. The euro area economy is forecast to grow by 4.3% this year and 4.4% next year. This represents a significant upgrade of the […]