The Dhaka Leap. Tarique Rahman moves toward Gen Z amid Chinese Drones, Indian Waltzes and “Political Cricket”

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This article was exclusively written for The European Sting by one of our passionate readers, Mr Tommaso Franco, geopolitical analyst specialized in International Relations at Luiss University (MA in European Studies). The opinions expressed within reflect only the writer’s views and not necessarily The European Sting’s position on the issue.


In the heart of the Bay of Bengal, a political experiment is unfolding that Europe cannot afford to ignore. From Rahman’s London exile to the secrets of the “Mirror Rooms”, the stakes in Dhaka extend far beyond local power. It represents a test of how European values of human dignity and democracy align with economic and political interests. Brussels’ support for the new leader must be a prerequisite for creating a hub of opportunity to curb migration routes toward the Mediterranean.

From Exile to a Digital Future. The Grand Return that Seduced Gen Z

As of February 13, 2026, Bangladesh has a new face: the rise of Tarique Rahman marks the grand return of the Zia dynasty. This is not merely an electoral victory for the BNP; it is the end of a fifteen-year democratic eclipse – a “ruthless surgery” of dissent conducted by Sheikh Hasina. Rahman has thrown down the gauntlet to the past: an end to repression, a beginning for meritocracy.

With a masterpiece of political rebranding, he transformed two decades of exile into a global command post. He returned not as a ghost of the past, but as the architect of a competitive nation. The core of this shift was the courting of Generation Z. To the youth and student movements – the authors of the 2024 uprising – he promised “Bangladesh 2.0”, where merit and digitalization replace cronyism and unemployment.

The Bengali Soul in the “Rahman Recipe”: Language, Cricket, and “Gram Sarkar

Rahman’s formula for the nation rests on an identity triangle: Language, Cricket, and Gram Sarkar. For the BNP, the Bengali language is the essence of the nation. Celebrating “Shaheed Dibash” on February 21 is not just about remembering the 1952 martyrs who fell defending Bengali against Urdu; it is a way to reaffirm sovereignty to India.

Sport, meanwhile, has become diplomatic “muscle”. Tarique has turned the national cricket team’s successes into a political manifesto. Beating giants like India or Pakistan serves as proof of a strong, independent Bangladesh.

Finally, the rural roots of Gram Sarkar form the foundation of Rahman’s consensus. This term evokes “village culture”, a system of rural self-governance that puts the countryside at the center of public life. Here lies the paradox: a leader who lived in London for twenty years now casts himself as the protector of the rural heartland, claiming to “come from the soil”. It is a strategy to secure popular support, based on the promise that a digital future will not trample peasant roots.

Aynaghar: The “Ghost” Prisons Where the Regime Silenced Dissent

Rahman’s true challenge lies in the underground chambers of fear. To restore the country’s soul, he must amend the Cyber Security Act, the repressive mechanism that for years turned social media posts into criminal charges. Simultaneously, he must fling open the Aynaghar (“Mirror Rooms”): secret prisons where intelligence services systematically extinguished the voices of dissidents. This system of enforced disappearances accumulated desaparecidos for over a decade. To prove his tenure is not just another dynastic power play, Rahman promises to transform these ghost prisons into museums under UN supervision.

The Dhaka Risk. Between Indian Waltzes, Chinese Drones, and Western Red Carpets

On the global chessboard, Dhaka is causing a tremor. Washington and the West have already rolled out the red carpet: praising the return to the polls with a mix of relief and opportunism, they see a chance to stem the Russian-Chinese alliance in the Bay of Bengal. Neighboring India finds itself in the uncomfortable position of having bet everything on the wrong horse (Hasina) and must now improvise a diplomatic waltz to make amends. Meanwhile, China accelerates without formalist concerns, flooding Dhaka with drones and infrastructure to secure its maritime outpost.

The Brussels Crossroads: Why Bangladesh is a Test for Europe

The EU is playing the “moral arbiter” card through the GSP+, the “passport” for privileged access to the single market starting in 2029. The pact is clear: zero tariffs on textile exports only in exchange for real democracy, the closure of the Aynaghar, and respect for human rights. Beyond providing a viable alternative to the Chinese authoritarian model, supporting Rahman means for Brussels creating a hub of opportunity to curb Mediterranean migration. European consistency on human rights will be the deciding factor: between a true dawn and a dangerous return to the past.

Tarique Rahman: Architect of Change or Infallible Communicator?

The “Bangladesh Case” represents much more than a commercial issue for Europe. It is the testing ground for our diplomacy of values. The rhetoric has laid the groundwork for a real turning point. The risk, however, is that behind polished words about modernity and digital revolutions hides the same old thirst for power, merely dressed in modern clothes. Bangladesh has begun to hope again, but the youth of Gen Z are not lowering their guard. They know well that in Dhaka, freedom is a right that must be protected every day. If Europe uses the GSP+ lever firmly, it can contribute to a genuine rebirth; if it settles for superficial promises, it risks endorsing yet another dynastic sleight of hand.

Sources

Al Jazeera – Rebuilding Bangladesh after Sheikh Hasina’s fall

https://www.aljazeera.com/video/101-east/2025/5/1/rebuilding-bangladesh-after-sheikh-hasinas-fall#:~:text=Video%20Duration%2048%20minutes%2045,Philippines’%20flood%2Dcontrol%20corruption%20scandal

Al Jazeera – Could BNP’s landslide win open a new geopolitical chapter for Bangladesh?

https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/2/14/could-bnps-landslide-win-open-a-new-geopolitical-chapter-for-bangladesh

Al Jazeera – ‘Very hopeful’: Cautious optimism among Gen Z Bangladeshis after key vote

https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/2/15/very-hopeful-cautious-optimism-among-gen-z-bangladeshis-after-key-vote

BBC News – Who is Tarique Rahman, the Bangladesh PM who spent 17 years in exile?

https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cj98n7k7rmgo

BBS News – Places that owns Tarique Rahman’s memory

https://www.bssnews.net/others/361791

Daily Sun – EU welcomes smooth transfer of power, hails Prime Minister Tarique Rahman

https://www.daily-sun.com/diplomacy/858707/eu-welcomes-smooth-transfer-of-power-hails-prime-minister-tarique-rahman

EEAS – Bangladesh: Statement by the Spokesperson on the elections

https://www.eeas.europa.eu/eeas/bangladesh-statement-spokesperson-elections_en#:~:text=Breadcrumb,and%20the%20rule%20of%20law.

GSP hub – Bangladesh

https://gsphub.eu/country-info/Bangladesh#:~:text=BANGLADESH%20AND%20THE%20EU%20GSP%20*%20100%25,of%20zero%2Dduty%20imports%20from%20Bangladesh%20in%202024.

Human Rights Watch – EU: Reports Show Need to Fix GSP Trade Regulation

https://www.hrw.org/news/2023/11/21/eu-reports-show-need-fix-gsp-trade-regulation#:~:text=Despite%20Rights%20Conditionality%2C%20Abusive%20Governments,scheme%20more%20transparent%20and%20effective.

India Today – Yunus out, Tarique in. Dhaka moves to woo Awami League-loyal cricketers back

https://www.indiatoday.in/sports/cricket/story/bangladesh-bnp-tarique-rahman-government-woos-shakib-al-hasan-mashrafe-mortaza-return-cricket-yunus-exit-2870512-2026-02-19

ISPI – Il Bangladesh alla prova del cambio di regime

NewsX Live – Bangladesh Elections 2026: EU Declares Bangladesh Elections Credible After BNP Landslide Victory

The Business Standard – EU eyes deepening ties with Bangladesh under new govt

https://www.tbsnews.net/bangladesh-election-2026/eu-eyes-deepening-ties-bangladesh-under-new-govt-1361721

The Business Standard – Nation remembers language heroes

https://www.tbsnews.net/bangladesh/nation-remembers-language-heroes-1367201

The Guardian – Tarique Rahman sworn in as Bangladeshi prime minister

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2026/feb/17/tarique-rahman-sworn-in-bangladesh-prime-minister

The New York Times – From Exile to Power: The Rise of Bangladesh’s New Leader

https://www.nytimes.com/2026/02/13/world/asia/bangladesh-election-tarique-rahman.html#:~:text=Bangladesh%2C%20on%20Tuesday.-,From%20Exile%20to%20Power:%20The%20Rise%20of%20Bangladesh’s%20New%20Leader,Mr.

United Nations Human Rights Office of the High Commissioner (OHCHR) – Bangladesh

https://www.ohchr.org/en/countries/bangladesh#:~:text=The%20OHCHR%20Mission%20in%20Bangladesh,30%20Sep%202025


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