Brexit: No deal without marginalizing the hard Tory Eurosceptic MPs

Yesterday Wednesday, 27 February 2019, the British Prime Minister Theresa May took questions from MPs on Brexit, public spending and homelessness. (https://www.parliament.uk).

More than once during the difficult past Brexit months the British Premier Theresa May has said that a deferment of the divorce day beyond the 29 March limit, will serve nothing. Actually, this is her only accurate assessment of the Brexit conundrum. Very simply because this crucial question has remained unresolved for 32 months after the June 2016 referendum. Logically, then, three more months until this June won’t change the basic political parameters of the deadlock. And the deadlock centers within her Tory party deep division.

Yet, last week, she offered to the deeply fragmented Parliament the option of a few months delay of the separation date. May was driven to this decision not because she thought it will resolve the Brexit dead-end, but to retain the initiative on Brexit and consequently remain as Prime Minister for two weeks more.

Salvaging the UK or the Party?

By the same token, she seeks to salvage her party from breaking up into hard Brexiteers and sensible politicians. Of the last category, half her government members, plus a good number of her Tory colleague MPs were ready to support an opposition parties’ proposal. All of them constitute a circumstantial parliamentary majority targeting to grab the Brexit initiative from 10 Downing Street in a vote next Wednesday and bestow it to Parliament.

Normally, the government proposes all laws to Parliament and the legislators can support or oppose them. However, a Parliamentary majority can overcome the government and legislate. In normal circumstances, this doesn’t occur because, in principle, the government is supported and controls the majority of the MPs. So, loosing the legislative initiative in a key issue like Brexit, can be interpreted as censure motion for 10 Downing Street, depriving the Prime Minister of her Parliamentary backing.

More futile votes

So, May preferred to avoid this Wednesday’s imminent devastating defeat. She gave more options to the revolting members of her government and the many other Parliamentarians, including the prospect of a few month delay of the Brexit day. May announced she will introduce two new Parliamentary votes on 13 and 14 March, if her new-old Brexit deal is again rejected on 12 March. This last eventuality is the most probable result. So, on 13 March the Parliament will be called to pass or reject a straight no-deal Brexit. If this dreadful prospect is rejected, the next day the Parliament will be given the option to vote on a delay of the Brexit day. The deferment of the Brexit date will just be for a few months, no later than next June.

According to the Parliamentary arithmetic formed during the past weeks, the most probable outcome will be the Brexit delay. This brings the whole issue to square one. The real options will remain exactly the same; a no-deal exit by default, a new referendum or a very soft Brexit – by remaining in the EU Customs Union – as the Labor Party leader Jeremy Corbyn has proposed.

Rejecting everything

Until now, the British Parliament has rejected any Brexit option being tabled, but a concrete solution however soft or hard hasn’t been formulated. This doesn’t seem likely to change after three months, or for as long as the Tory party remains in one piece. The around sixty backbencher, super conservative and extreme right wing Brexiteer Tory MPs constitute the Party’s Achilles’ heel and keep threatening the UK and the EU with a catastrophe.

In short, Europe will most probably remain on tenterhooks for a few more months, waiting for the Conservative party to solve its identity problem. If the Prime Minister continues to soothe those 60 hard Brexiteer ultra conservative Eurosceptic Tory PMs, there won’t be a Brexit solution acceptable to the rest of the legislative. So, the only possibility is for those MPs to be thrown out from the Tory Party and be allowed to form a new extremist political group.

Rees…Moggers

Jacob Rees-Mogg is their rightful leader, but his Palaeolithic political style won’t stand a chance in the greater picture. Rees-Mogg’s rise to prominence reminds of the humorous proverb ‘the higher the money ascends the more her bottom is exposed’. All May has to do to get rid of Rees-Moggers is to cooperate with the Labor Party’s leader Jeremy Corbyn just once.

The gravity of the situation will justify her cooperation with the ‘enemy’ just for once. Salvaging the UK from disaster is not a small thing. There are so many more other issues distinguishing Labor and Tories, that such a cooperative May’s step will be deeply appreciated by the majority of the Brits. Only the few followers of the Rees…Moggers will not understand. Not to forget, the mainland Europeans will demand a practical plan for a Brexit deal, in order to accept the delay the UK is to ask for. Only a common May – Corbyn proposal can guarantee that.

 

Advertising

Advertising

Advertising

Advertising

Advertising

Advertising

the European Sting Milestones

Featured Stings

Stopping antimicrobial resistance would cost just USD 2 per person a year

Further reforms will promote a stronger and more inclusive Hungarian economy

How tomorrow’s buildings will make you – and the planet – healthier

Those who produce food are among world’s hungriest – UN rights expert

New VAT rules in the EU: how a digital sea could have become an ocean

The Europeans with a job diminish dangerously

4 reasons cities should embrace Universal Basic Income

How electrification will make the world more inclusive

Disaster Medicine in Medical Education: the investment you just can´t afford to ignore

Generation Z will outnumber Millennials by 2019

COP21 Breaking News_03 December: Transport Industry Drive for Improved Energy Efficiency and Electro-Mobility to Stem High Growth of Emissions

Fighting for minds of youth in Latvia

ECB will be the catalyst of Eurozone’s reunification

TTIP’s 11th round major takeaways and the usual “leaked” document

South Sudan’s women caught up in ‘futile man’s war’ UN gender equality chief

The EU Commission is lying to the “Right2Water” campaign

European Youth Event 2016 – bridge between youth and policy makers

EU Parliament: ECB accountable for not supporting real economy

MEPs propose measures to combat mobbing and sexual harassment

3 lessons from India in creating equal access to vaccines

UN chief highlights action across borders for ‘stable and prosperous Eurasia’

ILO welcomes new UNDP report that places decent work at the heart of sustainable development

Climate change update: consistent global actions urgently needed as we are running out of time

Why precision medicine is the future of healthcare

Parliament makes it easier to organise a European Citizens’ Initiative

European tourism remains a strong growth factor

Budget MEPs approve €34m in EU aid to Greece, Poland, Lithuania and Bulgaria

European Parliament approves more transparency and efficiency in its internal rules

Why Eurozone needs a bit more inflation

Business uncertainty rises as US grants only temporary exception to EU for steel and aluminium tariffs

Abandoned mines could become the farms of the future

AI can be a game-changer for the world’s forests. Here’s how

GSMA Announces New Speakers for Mobile 360 Series – MENA, in association with The European Sting

How we can work together in the fight against NCDs

Responsible Artificial Intelligence

‘Safe Eurobonds’: a new trick to betray the south euro area countries

EU approves disbursement of €500 million in Macro-Financial Assistance to Ukraine

Europe must regain its place as world leader in digital technology

Impossible Brexit options: WTO or new referendum?

Teamgum @ TheNextWeb 2014

Youth Internationalization: part of everyday life in JADE

Education remains an impossible dream for many refugees and migrants

Germany readies to pay for the Brexit gap in EU finance

French elections: by the time the EU economy revives and the migration crisis is solved extremists could take over Europe

Spain will soon overtake Japan in life expectancy rankings. Here’s why

What can stop the ‘too big to fail’ bankers from terrorising the world?

The 4 types of leader who will thrive in the Fourth Industrial Revolution

Rule of Law: Commission launches infringement procedure to protect the independence of the Polish Supreme Court

Is a uniform CO2 emission linked car taxation possible in the EU?

COP21 Breaking News: “There is an ecological debt that the world needs to pay back to Africa”, French President Francois Hollande promises 2 Billion euros by 2020 from Paris

Companies have a new skill to master – innovation

Our children’s career aspirations have nothing in common with the jobs of the future

Fed and ECB prepare a new party for the financial sharks

The Junior Enterprise concept, one of the best ways to develop practical skills

Sudan: Health challenges in the Sustainable Development Goals era

MWC 2016 LIVE: Ericsson/Cisco partnership on track, insist execs

Scientists are using machine learning to unlock the mysteries of long-dead languages

Nearly 900 reportedly killed following ‘shocking’ intercommunal attacks in DR Congo

These are the countries where most adults still don’t have a smartphone

‘We need to do more’ to transform the world, deputy UN chief tells African audiences

Energy Union: EU’s effort towards a cleaner climate with integrated energy market

More Stings?

Speak your Mind Here

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out /  Change )

Google photo

You are commenting using your Google account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )

Connecting to %s