Brexit: No deal without marginalizing the hard Tory Eurosceptic MPs

Yesterday Wednesday, 27 February 2019, the British Prime Minister Theresa May took questions from MPs on Brexit, public spending and homelessness. (https://www.parliament.uk).

More than once during the difficult past Brexit months the British Premier Theresa May has said that a deferment of the divorce day beyond the 29 March limit, will serve nothing. Actually, this is her only accurate assessment of the Brexit conundrum. Very simply because this crucial question has remained unresolved for 32 months after the June 2016 referendum. Logically, then, three more months until this June won’t change the basic political parameters of the deadlock. And the deadlock centers within her Tory party deep division.

Yet, last week, she offered to the deeply fragmented Parliament the option of a few months delay of the separation date. May was driven to this decision not because she thought it will resolve the Brexit dead-end, but to retain the initiative on Brexit and consequently remain as Prime Minister for two weeks more.

Salvaging the UK or the Party?

By the same token, she seeks to salvage her party from breaking up into hard Brexiteers and sensible politicians. Of the last category, half her government members, plus a good number of her Tory colleague MPs were ready to support an opposition parties’ proposal. All of them constitute a circumstantial parliamentary majority targeting to grab the Brexit initiative from 10 Downing Street in a vote next Wednesday and bestow it to Parliament.

Normally, the government proposes all laws to Parliament and the legislators can support or oppose them. However, a Parliamentary majority can overcome the government and legislate. In normal circumstances, this doesn’t occur because, in principle, the government is supported and controls the majority of the MPs. So, loosing the legislative initiative in a key issue like Brexit, can be interpreted as censure motion for 10 Downing Street, depriving the Prime Minister of her Parliamentary backing.

More futile votes

So, May preferred to avoid this Wednesday’s imminent devastating defeat. She gave more options to the revolting members of her government and the many other Parliamentarians, including the prospect of a few month delay of the Brexit day. May announced she will introduce two new Parliamentary votes on 13 and 14 March, if her new-old Brexit deal is again rejected on 12 March. This last eventuality is the most probable result. So, on 13 March the Parliament will be called to pass or reject a straight no-deal Brexit. If this dreadful prospect is rejected, the next day the Parliament will be given the option to vote on a delay of the Brexit day. The deferment of the Brexit date will just be for a few months, no later than next June.

According to the Parliamentary arithmetic formed during the past weeks, the most probable outcome will be the Brexit delay. This brings the whole issue to square one. The real options will remain exactly the same; a no-deal exit by default, a new referendum or a very soft Brexit – by remaining in the EU Customs Union – as the Labor Party leader Jeremy Corbyn has proposed.

Rejecting everything

Until now, the British Parliament has rejected any Brexit option being tabled, but a concrete solution however soft or hard hasn’t been formulated. This doesn’t seem likely to change after three months, or for as long as the Tory party remains in one piece. The around sixty backbencher, super conservative and extreme right wing Brexiteer Tory MPs constitute the Party’s Achilles’ heel and keep threatening the UK and the EU with a catastrophe.

In short, Europe will most probably remain on tenterhooks for a few more months, waiting for the Conservative party to solve its identity problem. If the Prime Minister continues to soothe those 60 hard Brexiteer ultra conservative Eurosceptic Tory PMs, there won’t be a Brexit solution acceptable to the rest of the legislative. So, the only possibility is for those MPs to be thrown out from the Tory Party and be allowed to form a new extremist political group.

Rees…Moggers

Jacob Rees-Mogg is their rightful leader, but his Palaeolithic political style won’t stand a chance in the greater picture. Rees-Mogg’s rise to prominence reminds of the humorous proverb ‘the higher the money ascends the more her bottom is exposed’. All May has to do to get rid of Rees-Moggers is to cooperate with the Labor Party’s leader Jeremy Corbyn just once.

The gravity of the situation will justify her cooperation with the ‘enemy’ just for once. Salvaging the UK from disaster is not a small thing. There are so many more other issues distinguishing Labor and Tories, that such a cooperative May’s step will be deeply appreciated by the majority of the Brits. Only the few followers of the Rees…Moggers will not understand. Not to forget, the mainland Europeans will demand a practical plan for a Brexit deal, in order to accept the delay the UK is to ask for. Only a common May – Corbyn proposal can guarantee that.

 

the sting Milestones

Featured Stings

Can we feed everyone without unleashing disaster? Read on

These campaigners want to give a quarter of the UK back to nature

How to build a more resilient and inclusive global system

Stopping antimicrobial resistance would cost just USD 2 per person a year

Why flexible workspaces are the key to winning the talent war

“France will be there, it will always be there!”, French President Hollande says in a rather disorganised speech; the Sting reports live from World Economic Forum 2015 in Davos

Getting people with disabilities into work requires data

Business management: how can you introduce new ideas?

Trump’s Russophiles under investigation, Europe remains ‘en garde’

The new Kiev rulers ask $35 billion from the West

Coding in Namibia: UN supports young women’s computing career dreams

Healthcare’s a human right, not ‘a privilege for the rich’ UNAIDS argues at Davos

Why precision medicine is the future of healthcare

Medical students: catalysts to close the gender gap

New book honours UN women who made HERstory

Cameroon: Clear ‘window of opportunity’ to solve crises rooted in violence – Bachelet

Around 52 million in Near East, North Africa, suffering chronic undernourishment, new UN food agency report reveals

WEF Davos 2016 LIVE: The health of capitalism won’t be the only worry for those who head for Davos

Mergers: Commission approves Varta AG’s acquisition of Energizer’s divestment business, subject to conditions

Environmental labelling, information and management schemes are central to the circular economy

Negotiated two-State solution still ‘the only option’ for Palestine: Guterres

Air pollution: How to end the deaths of 7 million people per year

4 ways blockchain will transform the mining and metals industry

Pollution could be harming every part of your body. Here’s how

UN human rights ruling could boost climate change asylum claims

A Sting Exclusive: “The competitiveness of Europe depends on a digital single market”, EPP President Joseph Daul highlights live from European Business Summit 2015

Mergers: Commission opens in-depth investigation into proposed acquisition of Transat by Air Canada

MEPs want ambitious funding for cross-border projects to connect people

WHO chief underscores need to address climate change following visit to Bahamas

Humanitarian aid: €7 million for disaster preparedness in Southern Africa and Indian Ocean region

2018 Golden Pen of Freedom Awarded to Maria Ressa of the Philippines

Who is first (and last) in the race to build a workforce fit for the future?

We won’t win the online security war without people power

4 ways the circular economy can help heavy industry reduce emissions

EU prepares a banking union amidst financial ruins

A ‘strong and united Europe’ has never been more needed, declares UN chief Guterres

Here are five ways we can make mental healthcare better

Guterres expresses ‘grave concern’ following explosion at large political rally for reform-minded Ethiopian Prime Minister

Coronavirus: Commission concludes exploratory talks with Valneva to secure a new potential vaccine

2013, a Political Odyssey: What future for Italy?

3+1 issues to haunt tomorrow’s EU Summit

‘Good enough’ global cooperation is key to our survival

5 amazing schools that will make you wish you were young again

FROM THE FIELD: Finding refuge in the ‘beautiful game’

There is a forgotten solution to climate change that we must invest in – nature

Coronavirus: a Disease that spreads as fastly as its fake news

How data is transforming the way we care for the ocean

This German supermarket’s shelves are filled with food other stores won’t sell

How trust and collaboration are key in India’s last mile response to the COVID-19 crisis

The European Sting writes down the history LIVE from G20 Leaders’ Summit in Turkey

At UN, Middle East countries discuss steps towards regional nuclear-free zone

Banking package: Parliament and Council reach an agreement

Coronavirus vs flu: how do they compare?

Autumn 2020 Economic Forecast: Rebound interrupted as resurgence of pandemic deepens uncertainty

Globally, youth are the largest poverty-stricken group, says new UN report

How a bionic arm is helping one little girl enjoy the things most take for granted

If you build it, they will come: Why infrastructure is crucial to tourism growth and competitiveness

7 steps to becoming a ‘CEO Academy’

Towards the Rise of the United States of the Atlantic?

How personalized care can tackle the late-life loneliness epidemic

Vaccines: contract between European Commission and AstraZeneca now published

There is no greater sorrow on earth than the loss of one’s native land

Are we letting politicians play with migrants’ health?

Mobile technology facilitating social distance in the middle of a pandemic

More Stings?

Speak your Mind Here

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out /  Change )

Google photo

You are commenting using your Google account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )

Connecting to %s