EU-UK: A deal synonymous to ‘remain’, England pays the Irish price

British Prime Minister, Theresa May at the EU Council in Salzburg, Austria. During her visit she also attended dinner at Felsenreitschule, hosted by the Austrian Chancellor, Sebastian Kurz. (10 Downing St. photo, some rights reserved).

On 24 August 2017 the European Sting’s leading article ventured that, “Brexit may finally not really happen; The Brits have second thoughts”. This prediction was based on the basics of a proposal which Theresa May had aired on Thursday 17 August of last year. On this information, the European Sting then reported that between Britain and the EU there will be, “a new customs partnership which would exclude altogether the existence of a UK-EU customs border”.

The exclusion of a border between the UK and the EU can only be realized if Britain remains as a part the European Union’s Customs Union. It’s exactly what is happening now. Let’s see to details.

A Customs partnership

Last Friday, 12 October, and after more than two years of destructive infighting in the Conservative Party, May again told her government and Tory party colleagues that post Brexit Britain won’t leave the EU Customs Union, but this will be “time limited”. How time ‘limited’ it will be, nobody can tell.

In reality, Britain is to practically remain in the EU, and apply the rulings of the European Court for the years to come; for an eternity? Most probably! Yet, there is cross checked information that Boris Johnson, the leader of the Tory Brexiteers faction, won’t be able to block this 10 Downing Street’s plan, a catastrophic prospect for the likes of him. He, a sworn Brexiteer, is to swallow a ‘Brexit’ tantamount to ‘Bremain’, because Ireland won’t tolerate a bolder on her soil.

Softened Brussels

Given that, mainland European leaders and more precisely the French President, Emmanuel Macron and the German Chancellor, Angela Merkel will soften their rigid stance towards May’s proposal in this week’s EU Summit. Their objections focus on the fact that Britain cannot just decide to remain in the Customs Union and ignore every other European Union rule and institution. The European citizens’ right of free movement, the obligations toward EU’s budget and the jurisdiction of the European Court cannot be forsaken.

All the other Europeans insist that Britain cannot cherry-pick just the free trade of goods as a member of the Customs Union and forget the other EU determinants. Those issues will be clarified during the next few weeks, because the November EU Summit has to finalize the EU-UK divorce deal. There is no more time for Tory infighting. Britain will have to apply the EU rules.

Destabilizing Brexiteers

After being destabilized and threatened to be toppled for many months by extreme Brexiteers, the British Prime Minister seems to have regained control of the party. That is, the cool headed large majority of Tories, at least – those who don’t get sick with everything coming from Brussels. They seem to back her latest effort to put together a Brexit deal and avoid a dead end.

This reality became plain earlier this month at the Conservative Party annual conference in Birmingham. The European Sting monitored the game changing developments in the Tory party and last Monday 8 October came out with this title: ‘Window for a Brexit deal: Brussels to think again May’s proposal’.

May’s Brexit proposal is now crystal clear to all. It’s is a full participation to EU’s Customs Union, nothing less and probably much more than that. According to BBC, last Friday, the Prime Minister told her Tory Brexiteers that she would “never agree” to a permanent Customs Union with the EU. The BBC also reported, “They are thought to fear that Theresa May will agree to such a move, if a trade deal cannot be done in time”. In short, what remains to be clarified is if it will be for an eternity or for the many, many years to come.

Forever?

For sure, this ‘limited’ time period won’t be brief, and during it a lot of things may change. As for the Brussels side, the EU leaders say, there has to be some time suggestion about the ‘no permanent’ participation of the UK in the Customs Union. Practically, this means both mainland Europeans and the Tory Brexiteers have accepted the core of May’s proposal.

This week’s EU Summit will, most likely, not come up with a decision about the divorce deal. The sure thing, however, is that there will be a deal soon. This week the EU leaders will clearly appear less rigid toward Britain and will accept “there is very good progress in the Brexit negotiations”. The final agreement will be left for November’s Special Summit, after some weeks of frantic negotiations.

More than a Customs Union

From the beginning of the Brexit negotiations, the key issue was to avoid a hard border on the soil of Ireland. After Brexit, the Eire, a member of the EU, and Northern Ireland, a part of UK, must continue communicating without checks or controls. This can only happen if the whole of the UK remains in the Customs Union without reserves and asterisks.

There is no other way to fulfill the necessity of no borders being enacted on Ireland. Both the Tories and Brussels have definitely accepted the circle cannot be squared. Everybody is convinced about that by now. It was high time. Boris Johnson’s hard Tory Brexiteer conservatives had great difficulties swallowing the reality of the Irish problem.

In a strange way, the Irish people take a delayed revenge. They have brutally suffered under British rule, from an aggressive, egotistic and in many ways racist part of the English society.

 

the sting Milestones

Featured Stings

Can we feed everyone without unleashing disaster? Read on

These campaigners want to give a quarter of the UK back to nature

How to build a more resilient and inclusive global system

Stopping antimicrobial resistance would cost just USD 2 per person a year

Russia’s permafrost is melting and it could have a devastating global effect

Safe drinking water, sanitation, are ‘basic human rights’: new UN Water Development report

Doctors and nurses around the world are calling in sick

Civil society groups matter for Cambodia’s sustainable development: UN expert

Syria: UN Humanitarian Coordinator calls for unimpeded access from within the country

Voices of young climate action activists ‘give me hope’ says UN chief

Commission adopts White Paper on foreign subsidies in the Single Market

David Attenborough’s worried about this ocean threat – and it’s not plastic

Shanghai has tough new recycling rules – and it will stop collecting trash from communities that don’t comply

Explained, the economic ties between Europe and Asia

The European Commission and Austria secure COVID-19 vaccines for the Western Balkans

Italian elections: a long political limbo is ahead

FROM THE FIELD: Stopping aquatic hitchhikers to safeguard environments at sea

How COVID-19 is making companies act for the long term

In The Bahamas, Guterres sees impact of ‘Category Hell’ hurricane, ‘powered by climate change’

The ITU Telecom World on 14-17 November in Bangkok, Thailand

Deal on protecting workers from exposure to harmful substances

Plan for troop pullback ‘now accepted’ by rival forces around key Yemen port, but fighting intensifying elsewhere, Security Council warned

Recovering from COVID-19: these are the risks to anticipate now – before it’s too late

Global aid appeal targets more than 93 million most in need next year

European Youth Vlog

Embrace ‘people-centered multilateralism,’ UN-civil society forum urges

Find unity ‘to halt Libya’s senseless unraveling’, UN envoy urges Security Council

Will Europe be able to deal with the migration crisis alone if Turkey quits the pact?

Criminals thrive on data abundance – here’s how we’ll catch them

LUX prize will be awarded jointly by the European Parliament and the European Film Academy

Industrial price dive may lead to point of no return

Viktor Orbán, Hungarian Prime Minister, at a 2015 event in Brussels, Berlaymont. (Copyright: European Union , 2015; Source: EC - Audiovisual Service; Photo: Lieven Creemers)

Hungary and Ireland build front to say no to EU tax harmonisation plan

UN General Assembly urges greater protection for Palestinians, deplores Israel’s ‘excessive’ use of force

A day in the life of a Rohingya refugee

Mali: Two peacekeepers dead after dawn attack, several injured – UN Mission

Zero carbon by 2050 is possible. Here is what we need to do

Jordan flash flooding: UN chief ‘saddened’ by loss of life

COP21 Breaking News_10 December: the final sprint of the Final Agreement Negotiations

Recession: the best argument for growth

Business can be profitable AND drive progress on societal priorities

Is the ECB enforcing the will of the big Eurozone member states on the small? Can the euro area live with that?

Macron leads EU-wide minimum wage call as Merkel, Medvedev warn of global injustice

What will higher education in Africa look like after COVID-19?

Electronic cigarettes – The alternative we’ve been looking for?

EU and China discuss economic and trade relations at the 7th High-level Economic and Trade Dialogue

Post-Cotonou negotiations on new EU/Africa-Caribbean-Pacific Partnership Agreement concluded

May led Britain to chaos, now looks for way out with unpredictable DUP

The Japanese have a word to help them be less wasteful – ‘mottainai’

Office workers in these economies clock up the most extra hours

State aid: Commission approves €20 billion Spanish guarantee schemes for companies and self-employed affected by coronavirus outbreak

Why today’s leaders need to know about the power of narratives

Civilians ‘must never be a target,’ says UN in Afghanistan, amid troubling number of casualties during Ramadan

Use “blockchain” model to cut small firms’ costs and empower citizens, urge MEPs

Continuing incarceration of women’s rights activists in Saudi Arabia, ‘reprehensible’: UN experts

MEPs back first EU management plan for fish stocks in the Western Mediterranean

Can the whole world live in peace?

American women are 50% more likely to die in childbirth than their mothers

Wednesday’s Daily Brief: Guterres in Kenya, Prisoners sick in Iran, #GlobalGoals, Myanmar, Ukraine updates, and new space partnership

One year on: How we’re grappling with a world changed by COVID

Constitution of the 9th legislature of the European Parliament

The Monetary Union drives Europe into dangerous paths, CoR demands an EMU of regional content

We must stop choking the ocean with plastic waste. Here’s how

Politics is failing to protect the Amazon. It’s time for finance to step up instead

UN warns of ‘deteriorating climate’ for human rights defenders in Guatemala

More Stings?

Advertising

Speak your Mind Here

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out /  Change )

Google photo

You are commenting using your Google account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )

Connecting to %s