EU-UK: A deal synonymous to ‘remain’, England pays the Irish price

British Prime Minister, Theresa May at the EU Council in Salzburg, Austria. During her visit she also attended dinner at Felsenreitschule, hosted by the Austrian Chancellor, Sebastian Kurz. (10 Downing St. photo, some rights reserved).

On 24 August 2017 the European Sting’s leading article ventured that, “Brexit may finally not really happen; The Brits have second thoughts”. This prediction was based on the basics of a proposal which Theresa May had aired on Thursday 17 August of last year. On this information, the European Sting then reported that between Britain and the EU there will be, “a new customs partnership which would exclude altogether the existence of a UK-EU customs border”.

The exclusion of a border between the UK and the EU can only be realized if Britain remains as a part the European Union’s Customs Union. It’s exactly what is happening now. Let’s see to details.

A Customs partnership

Last Friday, 12 October, and after more than two years of destructive infighting in the Conservative Party, May again told her government and Tory party colleagues that post Brexit Britain won’t leave the EU Customs Union, but this will be “time limited”. How time ‘limited’ it will be, nobody can tell.

In reality, Britain is to practically remain in the EU, and apply the rulings of the European Court for the years to come; for an eternity? Most probably! Yet, there is cross checked information that Boris Johnson, the leader of the Tory Brexiteers faction, won’t be able to block this 10 Downing Street’s plan, a catastrophic prospect for the likes of him. He, a sworn Brexiteer, is to swallow a ‘Brexit’ tantamount to ‘Bremain’, because Ireland won’t tolerate a bolder on her soil.

Softened Brussels

Given that, mainland European leaders and more precisely the French President, Emmanuel Macron and the German Chancellor, Angela Merkel will soften their rigid stance towards May’s proposal in this week’s EU Summit. Their objections focus on the fact that Britain cannot just decide to remain in the Customs Union and ignore every other European Union rule and institution. The European citizens’ right of free movement, the obligations toward EU’s budget and the jurisdiction of the European Court cannot be forsaken.

All the other Europeans insist that Britain cannot cherry-pick just the free trade of goods as a member of the Customs Union and forget the other EU determinants. Those issues will be clarified during the next few weeks, because the November EU Summit has to finalize the EU-UK divorce deal. There is no more time for Tory infighting. Britain will have to apply the EU rules.

Destabilizing Brexiteers

After being destabilized and threatened to be toppled for many months by extreme Brexiteers, the British Prime Minister seems to have regained control of the party. That is, the cool headed large majority of Tories, at least – those who don’t get sick with everything coming from Brussels. They seem to back her latest effort to put together a Brexit deal and avoid a dead end.

This reality became plain earlier this month at the Conservative Party annual conference in Birmingham. The European Sting monitored the game changing developments in the Tory party and last Monday 8 October came out with this title: ‘Window for a Brexit deal: Brussels to think again May’s proposal’.

May’s Brexit proposal is now crystal clear to all. It’s is a full participation to EU’s Customs Union, nothing less and probably much more than that. According to BBC, last Friday, the Prime Minister told her Tory Brexiteers that she would “never agree” to a permanent Customs Union with the EU. The BBC also reported, “They are thought to fear that Theresa May will agree to such a move, if a trade deal cannot be done in time”. In short, what remains to be clarified is if it will be for an eternity or for the many, many years to come.

Forever?

For sure, this ‘limited’ time period won’t be brief, and during it a lot of things may change. As for the Brussels side, the EU leaders say, there has to be some time suggestion about the ‘no permanent’ participation of the UK in the Customs Union. Practically, this means both mainland Europeans and the Tory Brexiteers have accepted the core of May’s proposal.

This week’s EU Summit will, most likely, not come up with a decision about the divorce deal. The sure thing, however, is that there will be a deal soon. This week the EU leaders will clearly appear less rigid toward Britain and will accept “there is very good progress in the Brexit negotiations”. The final agreement will be left for November’s Special Summit, after some weeks of frantic negotiations.

More than a Customs Union

From the beginning of the Brexit negotiations, the key issue was to avoid a hard border on the soil of Ireland. After Brexit, the Eire, a member of the EU, and Northern Ireland, a part of UK, must continue communicating without checks or controls. This can only happen if the whole of the UK remains in the Customs Union without reserves and asterisks.

There is no other way to fulfill the necessity of no borders being enacted on Ireland. Both the Tories and Brussels have definitely accepted the circle cannot be squared. Everybody is convinced about that by now. It was high time. Boris Johnson’s hard Tory Brexiteer conservatives had great difficulties swallowing the reality of the Irish problem.

In a strange way, the Irish people take a delayed revenge. They have brutally suffered under British rule, from an aggressive, egotistic and in many ways racist part of the English society.

 

Advertising

Advertising

Advertising

Advertising

Advertising

Advertising

Advertising

Advertising

Advertising

the sting Milestone

Featured Stings

Can we feed everyone without unleashing disaster? Read on

These campaigners want to give a quarter of the UK back to nature

How to build a more resilient and inclusive global system

Stopping antimicrobial resistance would cost just USD 2 per person a year

Young people worldwide can ‘determine the future of migration,’ says UN senior official

Guterres says UN stands ready to support Brazil’s search and rescue effort in wake of tragic dam collapse

DR Congo President and UN chief meet at a ‘historic moment’ for democracy in the country

UPDATED: Thousands flee fighting around Libyan capital as Guterres condemns escalation, urges ‘immediate halt’ to all military operations

What Merkel and Macron are to tell Trump in Davos?

All States have ‘primary responsibility’ to protect against hate attacks

EU ready to relinquish its internal tax havens

Commission launches new edition of the Cultural and Creative Cities Monitor 2019

Nearly 900 reportedly killed following ‘shocking’ intercommunal attacks in DR Congo

How dearly will Germany pay for the Volkswagen emissions rigging scandal

The influence of the multilateral agreement on migrant health

Tuesday’s Daily Brief: #GlobalGoals progress, essential meds, updates from Cox’s Bazar, Sudan and DR Congo

Future of EU farming: MEPs push for modern common policy with fair funding

UN rights experts call on Philippines Government to halt ‘unacceptable attacks’ on Victoria Tauli-Corpuz

The business case for diversity in the workplace is now overwhelming

Scotland wants to create an ethical stock exchange (Post Brexit)

What do the economic woes of Turkey, Argentina and Indonesia have in common?

Brands can be a force for good and for growth. Here’s how

3 ways Africa can improve the health of women and children

Mine action is at ‘the nexus’ of peace, security and development: UN official

What the Fifth Industrial Revolution is and why it matters

Syria: Why did the US now take the Russian offer for a truce? What next?

Vile act of torture prohibited ‘under all circumstances’, UN chief affirms on International Day to support victims

Practicing healthcare: Skills of a good healthcare professional and its effects

Trade is not a weapon. Let’s not use it as one

How will the NATO-EU competition evolve in the post Brexit era?

The European Sting’s 2018 in most critical review

These are the world’s most competitive economies

COP21 Breaking News_08 December: Cities & Regions Launch Major Five-Year Vision to Take Action on Climate Change

Wednesday’s Daily Brief: Women boost work profits, saving biodiversity, UK loses Chagos Islands vote, Gaza funding, malaria-free in Argentina, Algeria

The fatal consequences of troika’s blind austerity policy

EU commits €9 million in humanitarian aid for the most vulnerable families in Myanmar

Further reforms in Japan needed to meet the challenges of population ageing and high public debt

‘The welfare of the Libyan people’ the UN’s sole agenda for the country, says Guterres in Tripoli

UN global education envoy urges new funding for ‘lost generation’ of children forced out of classrooms by conflict

European Labour Authority starts its work

Countries must invest at least 1% more of GDP on primary healthcare to eliminate glaring coverage gaps

China Unlimited Special Report: The trip to China

Working Muslim women are a trillion-dollar market

How fintech is making investment accessible

Voices of Afghan women ‘must be heard at the table in the peace process and beyond’ UN deputy chief tells Security Council

Millennials are transforming African farming

6 facts to know about EU alternative investment funds

Climate change is a security threat. We must act now

How a teen refugee survived a shipwreck and saved a baby’s life

COP21 Breaking News_07 December: “Remove Roadblocks to Climate Action”

Investment and Financing under the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI): EU and Chinese stakeholders share their views at European Business Summit 2018

‘Reaffirm the sanctity’ of religious sites, says Guterres, launching new plan to ‘counter hate and violence’

Sustainable Infrastructure and Connectivity in the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI): a stimulating China-EU dialogue at European Business Summit 2018

Why do humanitarian crises disproportionately affect women?

Inclusion, equality a must for ‘long-lasting peace and sustainable development’, UN official tells high-level event in Baku

Electronic cigarettes, a better alternative or a well-advertised product

These are the countries best prepared for the fight against cancer

“Will TTIP solve the massive EU-US unemployment? Absolutely not!” A revealing Sting Exclusive with Tim Bennett from the Transatlantic Business Council

COP25: MEPs push for CO2 neutrality by 2050

Budget MEPs approve €104.2 m in EU aid to Greece, Spain, France and Portugal

‘Health is a right, not a privilege’ says WHO chief on World Health Day

What do toilets have to do with climate change?

2018 Golden Pen of Freedom Awarded to Maria Ressa of the Philippines

More Stings?

Speak your Mind Here

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out /  Change )

Google photo

You are commenting using your Google account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )

Connecting to %s