EU unfolds strategy on the Egypt question

José Manuel Barroso, President of the European Commission received Habib Ben Yahia, Secretary General of the Arab Maghreb Union (AMU). (EC Audiovisual Services).

José Manuel Barroso, President of the European Commission received Habib Ben Yahia, Secretary General of the Arab Maghreb Union (AMU). (EC Audiovisual Services).

The European Union seems to have finally concluded that the ‘Muslim Brotherhood’ is a basic ingredient in Egypt’s political future and there will be no long-term viable solution of the present stalemate in this country without it. Despite the fact that the EU’s High Representative Catherine Ashton has adopted, along with the rest of the West and the UN, a mild attitude towards the military coup, it seems that the Union does not support the idea of a semi outlawed without political rights Brotherhood like in Hosni Mubarak’s era.

No future without the Brotherhood

Of course the EU didn’t go as far as to demand the reinstatement in the country’s Presidency of the ousted by the generals Mohamed Morsi nor did it ask for the release, of the apprehended by the army, Brotherhood’s leadership. Reading beyond the usual wording in announcements for the restoration of democracy, reconciliation and the rule of law, the European Union seems to have done its homework in analysing and gathering information from the local players.

The most relevant announcement on EU’s stance towards what is happening in Egypt was the one of 8 July. Its basic elements go like this: “Statement by the Spokesperson of High Representative
Catherine Ashton on the latest events in Egypt. “The events in Egypt over the past few days, in particular the confrontations which have resulted in so many deaths and injuries, are a cause of grave concern to all Europeans, and make even more urgent our call for an immediate end to the violence…The EU calls on all parties immediately to put in place a process which preserves civil liberties, and allows all political leaders to begin an inclusive dialogue, leading to elections in the shortest possible time. It will do all it can to support efforts to preserve calm and bring social and political peace across Egypt as stated by the High Representative in all her contacts with Egyptian leaders, and by EU Special Representative Leon in his contacts on the ground. These contacts include the Muslim Brotherhood”.

It is obvious that the European Union considers the Brotherhood as a basic element in Egypt’s future, despite Morsi’s attempts during the past twelve months to sidestep the Constitutional Court and impose a personal autocracy. On 8 July the European Sting writer Elias Lacon observed that: “There is no doubt that the Egyptian experiment of democratic political and economic transformation of the country by the Muslim Brotherhood has failed in every respect and the West recognised it”.

Now what?

The European Union seems to believe that the complete failure of Muslim Brotherhood during its brief period in power to deliver in the economic and the democratic fronts, has seriously undermined its political potential. As a result the brief announcement of an election within the next six months will keep this memory alive and voters are expected to punish the Brotherhood. In this strategy it is essential, that the period under the present, chosen by the generals, interim President Adly Mansour and his government is very brief and does not have the time to create a negative image for the secular political elite.

It is characteristic that the European Parliament adopted almost the same political logic. The Foreign Affairs Parliamentary committee issued a Press release saying that, “A number of MEPs favoured exerting all possible pressure on the interim Egyptian authorities, including financial and political pressure, in order to secure a credible roadmap to the restoration of democracy. The next Foreign Affairs Council on 24 July should give the EU a suitable deadline for making a reasoned judgement on whether the new authorities are going in the right direction, MEPs argued”.

Unfortunately all that does not exclude the possibility of a bloody civil war in Egypt. The confrontation will evolve along the lines of the present division between the religious and secular parts of the society. If this dreadful prospect materialises the EU will be the first western world region to pay the price. The Suez Canal is the European life line for in and outgoing commercial traffic and a large part of EU’s welfare depends on it.

 

Advertising

Advertising

Advertising

Advertising

Advertising

Advertising

Advertising

Advertising

Advertising

Advertising

the European Sting Milestones

Featured Stings

These campaigners want to give a quarter of the UK back to nature

How to build a more resilient and inclusive global system

Stopping antimicrobial resistance would cost just USD 2 per person a year

Libya: EU efforts should focus on protecting migrants, MEPs say

This new way of understanding disease is changing medicine

Action needed to end deadly clashes between African herders and farmers: UN chief

The four top Americans who flew to Europe perplexed things about Trump’s intentions

“A Junior Enterprise is run only by students.. there are no professors or managers that can help you solve your problems”

EU-India summit: Will the EU manage to sign a free trade agreement with India before Britain?

Africa-Europe Alliance: first projects kicked off just three months after launch

The German automotive industry under the Trump spell

Fight against climate change and poverty will fail without overhaul of global financial system, says major UN report

Eurozone closer to a deflation – stagnation trap

Why Commissioner Rehn wants us all to work more for less

Syrian Refugees in Germany face distinctly different challenges than those in Lebanon

Consumers suffer three defeats

Is a full course lunch, a new Commissioner and 2 million anti-TTIP citizens what you would call a “Fresh Start”?

What we take for granted: The EU is not perfect

Who the US and China have trade disputes with

EU makes key TTIP document public as protests get louder

ILO’s Bureau for Employers´Activities to publish new study on women in business and management

3 autonomous vehicle trends to follow in 2019

Second Facebook-Cambridge Analytica hearing: impact on privacy, voting and trust

This is what a planet-wide network of ocean sanctuaries could look like

EU budget: the Common Agricultural Policy beyond 2020

‘Global care crisis’ set to affect 2.3 billion people warns UN labour agency

Guatemala: UN anti-corruption body will continue working, as Constitutional Court blocks Government expulsion

COP21 Breaking News_03 December: Unprecedented Global Alliance for Buildings and Construction to Combat Climate Change

Why the ECB prepares to flood the markets with more and free of charge euro; everybody needs that now

This is our chance to completely redefine the meaning of work

Greece and Ukraine main items on EU28 menu; the course is set

Eurozone: The crisis hit countries are again subsidizing the German and French banks

The Indian miracle state pointing the way to global sustainability

EU Commission: Germany can make Eurozone grow again just by helping itself

Chinese Premier Li Keqiang’s speech from World Economic Forum’s Annual Meeting of New Champions

Press coverage of migration crisis in Europe: a call for collaborative action

Parliament demands ban on neo-fascist and neo-Nazi groups in the EU

Climate change recognized as ‘threat multiplier’, UN Security Council debates its impact on peace

2 trillion drinks containers are made every year – so where do they go?

Water supply a human right but Greeks to lose their functioning utilities

Darfur: Inter-communal tensions still high despite improved security, Mission head tells Security Council

Brexit: when the hubris of one man can set the UK, the EU and the entire world on fire

Marking Sir Brian Urquhart’s 100th birthday, UN honours life-long servant of ‘we the peoples’

Mandela, ‘true symbol of human greatness’, celebrated on centenary of his birth

ECB’s first flight in Eurozone’s banking universe will be just a reconnaissance

Syria: ‘Violence, displacement’ and cold kill 11 infants ‘in the past two days’

Tuesday’s Daily Brief: Bicycles for the environment, new leader for the UN General Assembly, UN values, Ebola, Syria and Libya

EU-China Light Bridge in Brussels signals the bright coming of the Year of The Dog

‘Never give up’: UN chief urges all who serve, marking UN Day

Venezuela: UN human rights office calls for ‘maximum restraint’ by authorities in face of new demonstrations

The EU Commission does nothing about the food retailing oligopoly

MEPs want to ensure sufficient funding for Connecting Europe’s future

We need to talk about failure in the social sector

Long live Eurozone’s bank supervisor down with the EU budget supremo

Why Obama asks approval from Congress to bomb Syria?

UK voters sent strong message to May and Corbyn for soft Brexit

COP21 Breaking News_05 December: Ban Ki-Moon Closing Address at COP21 Action Day Innovation, Imagination, Faster Climate Action

The 28 EU leaders show contempt for the European Elections results

WEF Davos 2016 LIVE: “No other problem has jeopardised the EU as much as the refugee question” Joachim Gauck, President of the Federal Republic of Germany, cries out from Davos

Love unlimited

Medical students of today, technological doctors of tomorrow

Why Eurozone urgently needs the ECB to print and distribute at least €500 billion

European Youth Forum welcomes the European Commission’s proposed revision of the Union Code on Visas, however it does not go far enough

More Stings?

Speak your Mind Here

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out /  Change )

Google photo

You are commenting using your Google account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )

Connecting to %s