Germany tries to save Europe from war between Ukraine and Russia

Group photo: Nursultan Nazarbayev, President of Kazakhstan, Vladimir Putin, President of Russia, Alexander Lukashenko, President of Belarus, Petro Poroshenko, President of Ukraine, Catherine Ashton, High Representative of the Union for Foreign Affairs and Security Policy and Vice-President of the EC, Günther Oettinger Vice-President of the EC in charge of Energy, and Karel De Gucht, Member of the EC in charge of Trade (from left to right). They all went to went to Minsk where they participated in a Forum between the Eurasian Customs Union, EU and Ukraine. The crisis in eastern Ukraine dominated the agenda, and Poroshenko called on the Forum to accept his peace plan for the country. The meeting focused on two areas: the economic aspects of the discussions between the different nations, especially between Russia and Ukraine and the role of the EU; and on the peace and security issues. (EC Audiovisual Services, 26/8/2014).

The bellicose attitude of the Atlantic powers – mainly the US with the resolute support and active engagement of Britain and France – has dramatically changed the horizon of international relations. Everything started with the US and British intervention in Iraq. Then came the destruction of the totalitarian and brutal Gaddafi regime in Libya and with it the country itself. After that France was given free hand to secure its clout on Mali by bombarding whatever moved in the deserts of the north of this ‘country’.

The next episode was Syria, where the West aimed at destroying the Assad management and tearing the country apart, securing at the same time the creation of a strong, independent and utterly loyal to Washington Kurdish administration in the north-eastern part of the country. The existence of the long established adjacent semi-autonomous Kurdish state of north-east Iraq was not a coincidence. Now, the side-effects of this strategy are the existence of the bloodstained Islamic State of ISIS in north Iraq.

Then came Ukraine

Then came Ukraine, where the West and Russia had been fighting for influence since the Orange Revolution. What is now at stake there exceeds even the boundaries of Europe and engulfs the entire world. Again the US is in tight alliance with Britain and France, with Germany being in an awkward position, opposing the belligerent strategy in East Ukraine followed by the lapdog extreme-right regime of Kiev controlled by Washington and Brussels. Berlin though doesn’t want to directly oppose the Western strategy in Ukraine for many good reasons. No western country is inclined to even contemplate to support the semi-totalitarian regime of Vladimir Putin. Let’s start from the beginning.

The destruction of Libya

Germany’s interests however in Ukraine had been either overlooked by the trio of US-Britain-France as in the case of Libya. The civil war in Ukraine obviously is to have a quite important result in blocking the economic relations between Russia and the EU. Of course the largest stakes in those relations pass through Berlin. Germany is to lose the most if Russia is cut out from the West. It’s not only that Germany may secure abundant energy supplies from Russia. German capital could gain a lot by investing state of the art technology to exploit Russia’s plentiful natural resources and to upgrade Russia’s ailing industry.

Germany set to lose much

In short, Germany is in stark contrast with the US-Britain-France trio over the way the West should treat Russia and consequently over the way the Ukrainian question is dealt. A proof of that is the recent statement of the German vice chancellor Sigmar Gabriel, who demanded that the EU and the West in general backs a solution in the Ukrainian conflict favouring a “federal solution”.

Gabriel advocated that only a ‘Federal Ukraine’ can offer a viable solution to this deeply divided country. Politically, culturally even from a religious point of view, the divisions that tear Ukraine apart and split the country in two – into west and east provinces – cannot be addressed under one administration. Gabriel speaking in an interview to the German weekly ‘Welt am Sonntag’ said that “avoiding, by any means possible, a direct military confrontation between Russia and Ukraine” and concluded, “The territorial integrity of Ukraine cannot be preserved unless a proposition is made to the majority Russian-speaking regions”.

Gabriel states the German position

The interview was published one day ahead of the official trip of the German Chancellor Angela Merkel to Kiev last Monday where she met with the Ukrainian President Petro Poroshenko. In first reading her visit to Kiev was an obvious backing to Poroshenko. But what Merkel told him must have been much harder to grasp. In fact, Gabriel’s statement was a premonition of that. Reportedly, she told Poroshenko not to long for a military victory in the East of the country and of course under no circumstances to engage his country in military confrontation with Russia. Logically, a military victory in the East is inconceivable because the ‘enemy’ numbers some millions of Russian speaking Ukrainians. And secondly, a direct military confrontation with Russia is inconceivable for Germany, despite the fact that the trio of US-Britain-France may think differently.

If an impartial observer takes account of what the ‘trio’ is doing in the rest of the world, the pursuit of a direct military confrontation between Ukraine and Russia is not unimaginable. It will serve many purposes in one. For one thing, it will show to the unemployed millions of the EU, that there are more important things than getting a job.

In this respect, the incredible statement by the Spokesperson for the European High Representative Catherine Ashton on the situation in Libya is a proof of what the US-Britain-France ‘trio’ is capable of doing in the rest of the world. After they destroyed Libya militarily by gunning down from the air the murderous Gaddafi regime, the country is turned into an inferno from the in-fighting between a large number of local warlords. Everybody knew that Libya couldn’t govern itself in the case of a collapse of Gaddafi without an obvious succession in place. The same was evident for Syria’s Assad regime. Still the ‘trio’ didn’t hesitate for a moment in pursuing their plans for these regions of the world.

Brussels and Washington

For the purpose of accuracy the statement of EU Press representative goes like that: “We strongly condemn the escalation of fighting in and around Tripoli, Benghazi and across Libya, including attacks on residential areas involving air strikes by unidentified fighter jets. We reject the pursuit of political goals through the use of armed force, and insist that broad -based political dialogue is the only solution to address the current crisis. Those responsible for such violence, which undermines Libya’s democratic transition and national security, must be held accountable”.

What this person says in reality is that ‘we don’t care if Libya goes to hell’. Obviously, these recommendations are completely out of place and are meant for the EU and US public opinion. It’s impossible that the masters of Brussels didn’t understand the extreme irrelevance of the above recommendations for the actual situation in Libya. Since it’s not possible for Libya to be governed democratically, the next option is what actually happens today, leaving the West coldly indifferent.

Alas this may be the new world order the US and their allies in Europe and elsewhere are preparing for the world.