The Bavarians threaten Berlin and Brussels with immigration crisis

In global challenges such as terrorism, climate change, migration and trade, Europe will only have any weight in the world if the member nations pull together, said German Chancellor Angela Merkel at the 21st WDR Europaforum TV show. “No country can do that alone.” Jun 07, 2018. WDR is a regional public service television channel in North Rhine-Westphalia. (Photo: Bundesregierung/Denzel).

In an unprecedented move, the German Interior Minister is betraying his boss – Chancellor Angela Merkel – and is forming an anti-refugee alliance with the extreme right-wing Austrian government and the precarious new Italian populist administration. The impossible German Interior Minister, Horst Seehofer, the leader of the Bavarian CSU party and junior partner in the Berlin governing coalition, came to terms with the Austrian Prime Minister Sebastian Kurz and the Italian extreme right Interior Minister Matteo Salvini, President of his populist Lega party, to overrule Merkel’s open door immigration policy. The Bavarian move creates a political stalemate in Germany and, at the same time, an immigration/refugee crisis in the entire European Union. Let’s take one thing at a time.

According to the prestigious news group Handelsblatt Global, “Horst Seehofer, in open revolt against Chancellor Angela Merkel over immigration, has gone behind her back by seeking an unofficial alliance with Austria and Italy”. He actually threatens to introduce a divisive law proposal to the Federal Parliament, the Bundestag, overruling Merkel’s policy.

Toppling the Chancellor?

He clearly then threatens to topple the Chancellor, by breaking his Bavarian CSU party alliance with Merkel’s CDU. In this way, the CSU degrades the CDU plus the socialist SPD party government partnership, to a minority position. Seehofer advertised he has come to terms with the Austrians and the Italians, to jointly promote an anti-immigration agenda in the EU. Kurz, in an unofficial visit to Germany said, “In our opinion we need an ‘axis of the willing’ in the fight against illegal migration.”

In a later development, last Monday, the Bavarians confirmed that they ask for measures to curb immigration, but said there is still more work to do about it. This is clearly a rescheduling of the final clash with Merkel. Reportedly, Seehofer said, he “cannot stand that woman any more”. Her Christian Democratic Union and the Bavarian sister Christian party, the Christian Social Union, have a 70 years history of unbreakable alliance in government and in opposition.

The Bavarians turn up…

Now, CSU wants to return immigrants back to the country of their first entrance and registration. Merkel, though, decisively stands by her open door immigration policy, which brought 1.5 million immigrants and refugees into Germany in the crisis year of 2015. If the two Christian parties don’t find a compromise, Germany enters into political limbo. As noted above, CDU and the Socialists do not have enough seats in the Parliament to support a viable majority government.

The final clash is now transferred to be staged during the 28-29 June European Union Summit in Brussels. Merkel is currently rushing to secure enough backing for an EU consensus for a dovish common immigration policy. In any case, she stands by her 2015 policy options, rejecting the Bavarian xenophobic, selfish and inward looking proposal.

Problems within

The problem is, though, that Merkel has difficulties even within her own party, the CDU. Her open door immigration policy was never happily accepted by her Christian Democrats, to say the least. In view of that, Merkel is now reportedly trying to conclude special deals with Greece and Italy along the lines of the EU – Turkey one, which just fell apart. The quota system agreed two years ago for all EU countries to accept certain numbers of refugees and immigrants has never functioned. Poland, Hungary and other central EU member states obstinately denied to apply it.

The two Mediterranean countries are the main entrance gates for immigrants and refugees from Asia and Africa heading for the EU. This year, arrivals have increased significantly, signalling a possible culmination, if not a new crisis, in the summer. On top of that, Turkey has pulled out from the deal it had with the EU, to withhold the Syrians and other refugees on her soil, in return for a €3+3 billion EU financial subsidy.

The Mediterraneans

If Merkel negotiates something similar with Greece and Italy, it would be difficult to convince the central Europeans to share the costs. If EU budget money is to be spent in Greece and Italy, countries like Poland and Hungary will surely veto the deal, even if the Mediterraneans accept the challenge.

All in all, it’s probable that the Bavarians and Merkel finally manage to reach a compromise. Such a possibility is to agree to a semi-open immigration regime and leave it a bit vague. Then, the interior Minister, Horst Seehofer, being the pertinent government minister to implement it, can turn it by and large into what he likes. Alas, nevertheless, the damage is done, because the Bavarians chose to cooperate with other like minded Europeans to undermine their own country’s main policy lines.

Even worse, in this case, it’s about an ‘unholy alliance’ between extreme right and demagogue politicians to prop up a xenophobic and inhumane plan. The whole affair will surely deeply divide the EU.

Advertising

Advertising

Advertising

Advertising

Advertising

Advertising

Advertising

Advertising

Advertising

Advertising

the European Sting Milestones

Featured Stings

These campaigners want to give a quarter of the UK back to nature

How to build a more resilient and inclusive global system

Stopping antimicrobial resistance would cost just USD 2 per person a year

Trump ‘used’ G20 to side with Putin and split climate and trade packs

Portugal: €4.66 million in aid for 1,460 dismissed workers and jobless young

More than nine in ten children exposed to deadly air pollution

Security Council hails ‘historic and significant’ joint peace declaration by Ethiopia and Eritrea

Why private investment in deforestation-free commodity production needs to be scaled up

European elections: A chance to repel both nationalism and no-deal Brexit

Development aid drops in 2018, especially to neediest countries

UN Environment Assembly 2017: where the world convenes to #BeatPollution

Wide-ranging reforms needed to ensure Italy’s economic recovery

Key economic forum in Russia: New technology a ‘vector of hope’ but also ‘a source of fear’ says Guterres

The ECB still protects the banks at the expense of the EU taxpayers

Brussels to tear down the trade wall with Mexico as opposed to Trump’s “walls”

The widely advertised hazards of the EU not that ominous; the sting is financial woes

Preparing the future today: World Health Organisation and young doctors

New UN agriculture agency report underscores value of fishing in fight against global hunger

Voices of young climate action activists ‘give me hope’ says UN chief

‘Two pack’ austerity package in force but with less vigor

These countries are ranked highest – and lowest – for human development

Brexit talks: 2nd round fails to bring the EU and the UK closer on key issues

What are the real targets of EU’s efforts to fight tax evasion?

Instability in Africa’s Sahel, spreading outwards, Security Council told

Emergency meeting called as Ebola spreads to Congolese city – UN health agency

We probably should go back to the therapy in Primary Healthcare

EU continues targeting on Chinese steel imports instead of the revival of its own economy

Thursday’s Daily Brief: impact of bad working conditions, Syria and Libya humanitarian news, human rights in Bahrain, families reunified in South Sudan

Is it too soon to hope for a tobacco free Romania?

UN rights chief ‘strongly’ condemns ‘shocking’ mass executions in Saudi Arabia

“Austerity was not the alternative!”, President Hannes Swoboda of the European Socialists and Democrats on another Sting Exclusive

How fintech is making investment accessible

EU attempts to make new deal with Turkey as relations deteriorate

Data and the future of financial services

The completion of the European Banking Union attracts billions of new capital for Eurozone banks

3 ways AI will change the nature of cyber attacks

Commission’s spending totally uncontrolled

“ASEM: Global Partners for Global Challenges”, a Sting Exclusive by China’s Ambassador to the EU

Is there a drug for every disease?

Myanmar Government side-lining democratic reform, resorting to military era repression: UN expert

“C’est la vie”? French recession and unemployment to linger in Eurozone

The Future of Retail: Changing shopping patterns will mean retailers need to invest in costly and complex solutions

Multilateralism more vital than ever, as World War centenary looms: Security Council

How a new approach to meat can help end hunger

FROM THE FIELD: Heeding the call for women’s rights around the planet

Inflation and interest rates indicate urgent need for action

The Ukrainian crisis to destabilize Europe and the world for a long time

Trump blocks US warmongers from bombing Iran

Investment, not debt, can kick-start an entrepreneurial Europe

EU job-search aid worth €9.9 million for 1,858 former Air France workers

EU Banks still get subsidies from impoverished citizens

UK Labour Party leader Corbyn readies to change Brexit political backdrop

Despite progress, companies face gender equality ‘backlash’: UN business body

‘Once-in-a-generation opportunity’ will be squandered, warns Guterres, unless social, economic, environmental challenges are met

EU elections: The louder the threats and the doomsaying the heavier the weight of the vote

‘More time’ agreed for buffer zone, to spare three million Syrian civilians in Idlib

Countdown To GSMA Mobile World Congress Shanghai 2018 Is On

Memoirs from a unique trip to China: “my new old dragon” (Part I)

Here are three ways Africa’s youth are defeating corruption

Social, cultural diversity ‘an enormous richness, not a threat’ Guterres declares calling on investment for a harmonious future

MEPs and European Youth Forum call on EU to Invest in Youth

Crackdown on Christians in Eritrea spurs UN expert to press Government ‘to live up to its international commitments’

How can education empower youth to become tomorrow’s leaders

More Stings?

Comments

  1. ya know I furtzen and it smellen NIX GUT JA VOL.

  2. Must have bin die saur kraut JA VOL MEIN HERR

Speak your Mind Here

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out /  Change )

Google photo

You are commenting using your Google account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )

Connecting to %s