Dangerous Trumpism in the Middle East with an anti-European edge

President Trump and King Salman of Saudi Arabia signed a $110 billion Arms Deal. May 20, 2017 (The White House work, snapshot from a video).

All main stream media analysts agree that the US President Donald Trump last Sunday 21 May in Riyadh, completely reversed his predecessor Barack Obama’s Middle East policy. He made it evidently biased, aggressive and dangerously personal, despite the extensive use of the word ‘peace’. In a matter of hours Trump endorsed one hundred per cent the autocratic Saudi Arabia and the other Sunni Gulf kingdoms regimes, and ostracized Iran as the only source of trouble in the region and the sole supporter of terrorism. He forgot that the US, since 11 September 2001, is fighting terror emanating from the hard-line Salafist Sunni kingdoms of the Gulf. On the same occasion, he repudiated the agreement the Obama administration had signed with Shia Moslem Iran, in order for Tehran to stop its nuclear program and open its markets to the West.

This US step leaves the co-signers of the above mentioned agreement (dubbed the 5+1 deal) Britain, France, Germany, Russia and China out in the cold. The European Union, and more precisely Federica Mogherini the High Representative of the Union for Foreign Affairs and Security Policy, was very active in striking this Iran deal. Soon after the signing on 14/7/2015, a number of EU giants like Airbus rushed to Tehran and signed contracts worth tens of billions.

Ostracizing Iran

The Americans were slow, presumably for political reasons, in taking advantage of Tehran’s opening to the West. They were rather happy with their lucrative contracts with the oil rich Gulf kingdoms. In short, this week, Trump  tried to annul Tehran’s cooperation with Europe by aggressively taking parts, like a bull in a china shop, in the centuries old rivalry between Shia Iran and the Sunni Kingdoms of the Persian Gulf. None of his last two predecessors in the White House had so vigorously embraced the autocracies of the Gulf and ostracized Iran. And this despite the very good relations of both the Obama and George W. Bush administrations with Saudi Arabia.

Trump also told the super wealthy despotic Sunni hardliners of the Gulf that the US doesn’t want (any more) to tell them how to live and run their authoritarian governance systems. In this way he denounced the albeit small grievances the US had under Obama, in respect with the dictatorial character of those regimes. As if the oil kings have bought into Trump’s total support, Saudi Arabia agreed to purchase $110 billion worth or American armaments, in the hope of changing the balance of power in the Gulf against Shia Iran. Currently, all those oil kingdoms don’t stand a chance, militarily, vis-à-vis Iran. This last country after many years of isolation has managed to develop its own armaments industry able to confront even the US navy in the Arab Gulf.

Packaging Arabs and Israelis?

The next day, Monday 22 May in Tel Aviv, the Israeli capital, Trump again categorically ostracized Iran more than once. In this way, the new American administration is forming a taciturn alliance of the oil rich countries with Israel, both archetypal enemies of Iran. Yet, the US armed forces which are combating ISIS in Mosul, are fighting side by side with Iranian army units. Iran has a very strong and close relationship with the Iraqi government. Tehran has effectively supported Bagdad in redressing – together with the US – the Iraqi armed forces and, with the supply of American weaponry, have jointly managed to overpower ISIS. Iran plays the same role in Syria, where Tehran’s armed forces, while supporting the Bashar al-Assad regime, have also managed to corner ISIS.

However, in Tel Aviv, Trump ‘forgot’ to honor his promise to help ‘transfer the Israeli capital to Jerusalem‘. Last February, he stated that the US was ready to transfer the US embassy there. Not a word about that now. For one thing, he finally understood the complexities which have been haunting Jerusalem for the last two millennia. The three most important monotheisms have their hubs in the city, making it practically untouchable. Christians, Moslems and Jews are packed there, in a way that not even…Trump can touch.

Faulting on promises

This is not the first time that Trump is caught retracting on his promises. During his first 100 days in power he has failed on many occasions to honor his word. He promised to work for the ‘left behind’ Americans and instead he has briefly made the New York bankers immensely richer and appointed as Labor Secretary the most callous American employer. By the same token, his present makeshift Middle East policy is seen just as a pompous arrangement. It’s a readymade White House scheme, to give him the opportunity to boast that he brought $110 billion worth of payrolls back to America.

Rather sooner than later, though, his inexperienced advisors will discover that without Iran, it’s impossible to make plans in the Middle East. With all the latest US guns that Saudi Arabia has been buying during the past few years, Riyadh proved impotent to defeat the barefoot Houthis, the Shia Moslem rebel movement in Yemen, which is being effectively backed by Iran. It’s very probable that in the next few weeks the US will face more demands from Saudi Arabia for field support in Yemen, the underbelly of the entire Arabian Peninsula. Tehran will soon try to test the newly boosted by $110 billion US-Saudi Arabia partnership. Iran is sure to raise the stakes in Yemen and elsewhere in the Middle East.

A difficult job

Once more then, Trump will learn the hard way that it’s not an easy thing to be President of the US. His own newly botched up Middle East policy will soon prove to be strategically much more dangerous, than it is politically profitable personally for him within the US. America will most probably soon return to the previous mode of energetically supporting the oil rich kingdoms of the Gulf, but at the same time cooperating with Iran too. The Europeans will definitively press the US to this direction, and will demand that Washington honors her signature in the 5+1 agreement with Tehran.

 

Advertising

Advertising

Advertising

Advertising

Advertising

Advertising

Featured Stings

TTIP wins Merkel’s endorsement ahead of 2016 tough deadline

The Commission sees ‘moderate recovery’ but prospects deteriorate

Why the ECB had to clarify it caters for the entire Eurozone not just Germany?

EU accused of being too nice with Gazprom in the infamous antitrust case

EU-US to miss 2015 deadline and even lose Germany’s support in TTIP’s darkest week yet

Is a full course lunch, a new Commissioner and 2 million anti-TTIP citizens what you would call a “Fresh Start”?

ECB readies itself for extraordinary monetary measures defying Germany

Austerity lovers to put a break on Renzi’s growth vision for Europe? the Sting reports live from World Economic Forum 2015 in Davos

More billions needed to help Eurozone recover; ECB sidesteps German objections about QE

One Day in Beijing

EU signs with Canada historic trade agreement, others to follow

GREXIT final wrap-up: nobody believed Aesop’s boy who cried wolf so many times

COP21 Breaking News: “There is an ecological debt that the world needs to pay back to Africa”, French President Francois Hollande promises 2 Billion euros by 2020 from Paris

Europe united in not supporting a US attack on Syria

Migration crisis: how big a security threat it is?

Does the world have strong enough institutions to handle risks like Trump and Brexit?

Commission’s feeble response to financial benchmarks fraud

Obama turns the G20 summit into warmongering platform

The Chinese spirit

Refugee crisis: Commission proposes a new plan urging EU countries to help Italy

Entrepreneurship’s key to success showcased by a serial young entrepreneur

On European immigration: Europe’s Missing Citizens

Does the Commission subsidise a forced labour scheme in Britain?

Doctors vs. Industry 4.0: who will win?

Is Data Privacy really safe seen through Commissioner’s PRISM?

European Business Summit 2014 : The Sting Report, Day II – Business, Politics and EBS 2015

ECB to support only banks not Peoples

Half of Eurozone in deflation expecting salvation from monetary measures

Quantitative easing: how Mario can tackle low inflation in Eurozone

France fails again the exams. Kindly requested to sit in on Commission’s class

Syria: Why did the US now take the Russian offer for a truce? What next?

Will Turkey abandon the refugee deal and risk losing a bonanza of money?

YO!FEST ENGAGES 8,000 YOUNG EUROPEANS IN FUTURE OF EU

Global Citizen-Volunteer Internships

Why the 33,000 staff European Commission did not have a real contingency plan for the refugee crisis?

Microsoft’s YouthSpark: a kiss of Life to European Youth from the European Parliament

The ASEAN Community sees the light: the genesis of a new powerful economic and political bloc and EU’s big opportunity

Is a deal over EU budget possible today?

EU: Turkey to shelter Syrian refugees and turn other immigrants back in return of €3 billion

The increasing drug prices in Europe

EU Commission: Once in every 20 beef meals you eat…horse probably with drugs in it

France and Poland to block David Cameron’s plans on immigration

The world is a book and those who do not travel read only one page

WEF Davos 2016 LIVE: “Chinese economy has great potential, resilience and ample space for policy adjustment”, China’s Vice President Li Yuanchao reassures from Davos

Intel @ European Business Summit 2014: Better decisions now, the new business dashboard 

Me and China

GSMA Mobile 360: Connecting Cities, Connecting Lives, Connecting Europe

Banking Union: ECOFIN and Parliament ready to compromise

A very good morning in European markets

EU Commission challenges Berlin by proposing breakthrough legislation on banks

Advocate General ‘outlaws’ Data Retention Directive

Gloomy new statistics signify no end to Eurozone’s economic misery

Will Brexit shatter the EU or is it still too early to predict?

Why banks escape from competition rules but not pharmaceutical firms

Human rights in Brussels and in Beijing: a more balanced approach needed

The Americans are preparing for the next financial crisis

While EU Open Days 2013 discuss the 2020 strategy, Microsoft shares a glimpse of EU 2060

Paris agreed with Berlin over a loose and ineffective banking union

IMF’s Lagarde to Peoples of the world: You have to work more for the banks!

A few, or rather two, trade and economic alliances may rule our brave new world

More Stings?

Speak your Mind Here

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s