Tomorrow’s UK general election: Will Tories win majority to shoot an abrupt Brexit or a hung parliament will prolong January’s exit to 2050?

Visit of Boris Johnson, British Prime Minister, to the EC
Date: 17/10/2019. Location: Belgium, Brussels – EC/Berlaymont. © European Union, 2019
Source: EC – Audiovisual Service. Photographer: Lejeune Xavier

The United Kingdom is about to go to the polls tomorrow to elect a new Parliament with Boris Johnson struggling to ensure the majority in order to promote his “deal” with the European Union. Opinion polls show that the gap is narrowing between the Tories and the Labour parties but Boris Johnson is still ahead of the race.

The Brexit deal which is intended to be finalised by the leader of the Conservative party before the end of 2020 includes major challenges according to a leaked government document.

If the latter is true, then Tories’ leader will have a difficult time in implementing his agreement on time; something that the EU has already stated. Will Mr Johnson request another extension or proceed with an unfavourable trade deal with the EU?

Background

The UK citizens are going to the polls two and a half years after their previous general election in June 2017. The current elections are the first to be held in December since 1923 and the party that will receive more than 325 seats is the one to get the majority by forming a government that would decide about the fate of Brexit.

The main parties to claim the vote of the UK citizens are the Conservative and the Labour ones. Boris Johnson, leader of the Conservative party, supports a swift Brexit deal with the EU and has promised that will he make it real it before Santa Claus comes to town. However, Jeremy Corbyn, the main opponent of the Tories, has claimed that will ask for a second referendum to be held and provide the chance to the British people to decide again and again and again whether they want to stay or leave the Old Continent. As it seems, the country’s Brexit policy would be catalytic for the people to decide which side to take in Thursday’s elections.

Tories’ lead

All the opinion polls have a common ground so far; the win of Boris Johnson by several percentage points. The leader of the Labour party has managed to close the gap but it seems it would not be enough; pretty much the same story goes with him as political leader of such a historic party in the UK.

According to an Ipsos Mori poll released last Friday, Boris Johnson’s party remained at the the top leaving the Labour party behind by 12% whereas the Liberal Democrats and the Brexit Party slipped further from what was predicted in latest polls. Another survey conducted on December 7 by YouGov showed that Tories are leading the race by 43% and the Labour party following with 33%. Furthermore, it was outlined that the Greens and the Brexit Party are about to land on a slim 3% while the Liberal Democrats reached 13%.

However, the opinion poll published two days ago by ICM, picking a sample of 2.011 adults from December 6 to December 9, narrows the gap to six points. More specifically, the survey shows that the Conservatives remain at 42% while the Labour Party’s popularity rose to 36%. Liberal Democrats were at 12% and the Brexit Party remained at 3%.

Will the deal be implemented on time?

Boris Johnson keeps on insisting that the Brexit deal will be implemented by the end of next year but serious concerns are raised about it becoming feasible according to a leaked Whitehall memo drawn up by the “Department for Exiting the EU”. It is stated that it will be tough to create a new infrastructure in Northern Ireland within the next year.

In detail, the document outlines that “Delivery of the required infrastructure, associated systems, and staffing to implement the requirements of the protocol by December 2020 represents a major strategic, political and operational challenge.” It is also said that there would be a “legal and political (domestic and EU) impact of not being able to deliver the protocol in December 2020” and that “delivery on the ground would need to commence before we know the outcome of negotiations on the free trade deal with the EU”.

Therefore, one of the main priorities of the Tories’ leader is at peril. It is without a doubt a very difficult deal to be achieved but apparently both Boris Johnson and his government continue to claim that they will make the agreement happen by the end of 2020. Who should the UK voter believe in?

Critical vote

It would be very tough to decide on whom to rely your dreams regarding the fate of the United Kindgom, its relationship with the EU, the NHS system, the climate change policy and border security among others. It would also be very bizarre to believe all that is being promulgated by the leaders of both the Conservative and Labour parties.

As things have evolved, it is unlikely but not impossible to see Boris Johnson lose by Jeremy Corbyn. But will the UK general elections’ outcome provide a clear majority win even for the Tories’ leader? And if so, how and when does he intend to conclude the Brexit agreement with the EU? On the event of a hung parliament though, things are going to go very uncertain again as the plans of Boris Johnson would be stopped and the UK may even hold a second referendum.

All in all, the time has come for the United Kingdom to come forward and show what it really wants, because both them and the rest of the world are facing a terrible Brexit fatigue.

Is it going to be a snap Brexit from the EU which is propagated by BoJo or a second/third….infinite referendum that Jeremy Corbyn supports?

the sting Milestone

Featured Stings

Can we feed everyone without unleashing disaster? Read on

These campaigners want to give a quarter of the UK back to nature

How to build a more resilient and inclusive global system

Stopping antimicrobial resistance would cost just USD 2 per person a year

First 17 “European Universities” selected: a major step towards building a European Education Area

100 years on, UN labour agency mission focussed on growing inequality, says Director-General

Business can be profitable AND drive progress on societal priorities

Cohesion Policy after 2020: preparing the future of EU investments in health

To retire at 65, American millennials need to save almost half their paycheck

UN Chief ‘strongly rejects’ Guatemala decision to expel anti-corruption body

UN agencies call for action to bolster rights of Europe’s stateless children

The world is a book and those who do not travel read only one page

GSMA Mobile 360 in Kuala Lumpur– Digital Societies, in association with The European Sting

What the Fifth Industrial Revolution is and why it matters

Just transition in EU regions: support to people, economy and environment

Happiness apps: how schools are joining the fight for better student mental health

Low productivity jobs continue to drive employment growth

This is why retail is such a sore point in India-US trade relations

Serious concerns over Sahel, require ‘urgent action’: Senior UN Africa official

EU Budget 2019: focus on the young, on migration and innovation

How big data can help us fight climate change faster

Entrepreneurship’s key to success showcased by a serial young entrepreneur

UN Children’s Fund chief condemns ‘horrific’ Kabul bomb attack

EU presses India for a free trade agreement

Former Chilean President Bachelet put forward by UN chief as next High Commissioner for Human Rights

France is bringing back national service

Silicon Valley can do more to achieve the #GlobalGoals

Is Eurozone preparing to abandon austerity and stagnation?

Unemployment and stagnation can tear Eurozone apart if austere policies persist

Lives at risk if wireless technology demands are not held in check: UN weather watchdog

Welfare of transported animals: MEPs urge EU states to do a better job

South Sudan famine threat: UN food security agency in ‘race against time’

How can we make entrepreneurship serve the greater good?

Abu Dhabi is investing $250 million in tech start-ups

EU cross-border payments outside Eurozone: MEPs scrap excessive fees

Restore land to save the planet, boost the economy, says head of UN body combating desertification

COVID-19: Commission provides guidance on EU passenger rights

Africa Forum aims to boost business, reduce costs, help countries trade out of poverty

Teamgum @ TheNextWeb 2014

The global appetite for meat is growing, and it’s harming the planet

All States have ‘primary responsibility’ to protect against hate attacks

End racist discrimination against Afro-European people in the EU

‘Stay at home’ UK tells people as global confirmed cases pass 380,000 – Today’s coronavirus updates

The digital skills gap is widening fast. Here’s how to bridge it

Trump’s Russophiles under investigation, Europe remains ‘en garde’

This Hungarian man quit his job to clean up his favourite river

What’s needed now to fight COVID-19 – Updates from today’s WHO briefing

Endocrine disruptors: A strategy for the future that protects EU citizens and the environment

Youth not prioritised in new Commission

Sudan: top UN official demands cessation of violence and rape against civilians by security forces

MEPs urge the EU to lead the way to net-zero emissions by 2050

Counterfeiters are taking advantage of the pandemic. Here’s how to stop them

Investment, not debt, can kick-start an entrepreneurial Europe

Nearly four million North Koreans in urgent need, as food production slumps by almost 10 per cent

UN rights experts call on Russia to release Ukrainian film-maker whose life is in ‘imminent danger’

Food finally features in the climate debate. Now what?

Terrorist content online: companies to be given just one hour to remove it

Sustainable Infrastructure and Connectivity in the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI): a stimulating China-EU dialogue at European Business Summit 2018

A Sting Exclusive: “Asia-Pacific response to COVID-19 and climate emergency must build a resilient and sustainable future”, by the United Nations Under-Secretary-General

From start-up to scale: This is how governments can accelerate innovation and build inclusive economies

FROM THE FIELD: Enslaved Guatemalan indigenous women wait for reparations

How the world can gear up for the fight against cancer

Mozambique pledging conference hopes to soften devastating blow of back-to-back cyclones

African continent ‘an example of solidarity’ towards migrants and refugees: UN chief

More Stings?

Advertising

Speak your Mind Here

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out /  Change )

Google photo

You are commenting using your Google account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )

Connecting to %s