Draghi joined Macron in telling Germany how Eurozone must be reformed

French President Emmanuel Macron delivered a momentous speech after receiving the Charlemagne Prize. Sited behind Macron, ECB President Mario Draghi a former laureate of the Charlemagne Prize, looks on. Aix-la-Chapelle, 11 May 2018. (French Presidency work – snapshot from a video).

Mario Draghi the President of ECB, speaking at the European University Institute in Florence, on 11 May 2018, must have been under the influence of the idealistic aura of this Florentine learning institution. He went as far as proposing political policies, bravely overstepping his role as central banker of Eurozone. Draghi asked for an effective “European deposit insurance scheme”. He also proposed the creation of “an additional fiscal instrument to maintain convergence during large shocks” in Eurozone.

Those are two clearly set ideas. The first is about a credible and adequately financed common euro area bank deposit guarantee scheme. The second one is tantamount to a Financial Ministry and minister in Brussels, with a macro-economically important budget. Both proposals are identical to Emmanuel Macron’s ideas about how to reform and save the European Union. The French President reiterated and amplified his well known proposals on 10 May in Aix-la-Chapelle, while receiving the Charlemagne Prize in front of an audience comprising Angela Merkel and other top European leaders. This time, Macron didn’t chew his words and told the German Chancellor, who was sitting just a few meters from him, what her country must do. Let’s take one thing at a time.

The Italian banking crisis

Returning to Florence, we find Draghi asking for the creation of a true ‘Banking Union’ with a powerful Single Resolution Fund (to resolve failing banks), backed by the financial powers of all the sovereign governments of euro area, including the one based in…Berlin. Currently, this Fund is financed by small annual contributions paid by the lenders, being overtly incapable of confronting a real banking crisis, but this arrangement is totally inadequate and cannot save even the smallest bank. During the last three years, this was evident in the case of Italy.

During that period, Italy, despite been over-indebted, was forced to alone save a number of failing banks. In this way the Italian government dived deeper into debt and consequently was unable to adequately support economic growth. This had devastating effects on the country’s political developments. The result is an impossible government, being currently about to be formed by the ‘5 Star Movement’ party led by a comedian, plus the anti-European, extreme right populists of ‘Lega’. All of them promised greener grass, to win the 4 March elections.

They will end up blaming Europe for their treachery and the failure to honor promises. Politically then, it’s not an exaggeration to predict that Italy’s future in the euro area is at stake. Such a dreadful prospect may trigger the unravelling of the entire euro money block.

An effective backstop

Obviously, this is what Draghi wanted to avoid, when he said “What is still missing, however, is a backstop for the Single Resolution Fund. That is why in all the other large jurisdictions, such as the US, the UK and Japan, resolution funds are backstopped by the fiscal authority”. He expertly identified here a critical deficiency of Eurozone. Clearly, the euro area lacks a real banking union, with a dependable risk sharing mechanism, backed by all member states’ financial resources.

If such a mechanism existed, it would have reduced the country risk for all and every member state. In 2014, Germany blocked the enactment of such a powerful financial instrument, by compromising the Single Resolution Fund. As the Fund was finally shaped in June of that year, currently, it cannot handle in an orderly and low cost way the resolution of any bank.

What is missing?

Undeniably, if there was a common EU and strong fiscal authority and a euro area bank deposit guarantee system in Brussels, the Italian banking crisis would have cost much less. By the same token, it wouldn’t have produced today’s political stalemate, which may prove to be a bomb in the foundations of Eurozone and the EU.

Germany is the only economic power which blocked the creation of such a pan-European and effective Single Resolution Fund. In 2014, Berlin opposed the creation of such a Fund, fearing that it will be only Germany to pay for it. Now however, Macron says France is ready to undertake the proportionately right part of the financial burden to mend that, so Germany cannot go on stubbornly using this argument.

France can fund it

Last week in Aix-la-Chapelle, the French leader said it clearly, speaking after he received the prestigious Charlemagne Prize. He stated, “C’est pourquoi je crois dans un budget européen beaucoup plus ambitieux, dans lequel la France prendra sa part de contribution…défendre une convergence économique, fiscal… C’est pour cela que je crois à une zone euro plus forte, plus intégrée, avec un budget propre permettant les investissements et la convergence parce que c’est le seul moyen de permettre à tous les États qui souhaitent aller de l’avant, d’aller en cette direction”. (“That’s why I believe in a much more ambitious European budget, for which France is to undertake her contribution…to defend an economic, fiscal convergence…That’s why i believe in a much stronger euro area, more integrated, with its own budget which will support investments and convergence because this is the only means to open the way to all member states who wish go forwards, to go in this direction”).

He had more to say though. Macron also pointedly said that the German surpluses are the deficits of somebody else and this cannon go on: “en Allemagne, il ne peut pas y avoir un fétichisme perpétuel pour les excédents budgétaires et commerciaux parce qu’ils sont toujours faits aux dépens de certains autres”. (“In Germany, the ongoing fetishism for budget and trade surpluses cannot go on any more, because they are always accumulated on certain other people’s expenses”).

At the expenses of others

Every year, Germany turns out a trade surplus of some tens of euro billions with her EU partners. Unfortunately, she hoards those colossal funds and refuses to recycle them. Thus in the long run, this country inhibits the entire euro area’s economic system from functioning properly. Actually, Germany neutralizes the abilities of her trade partners to grow. The political side effects have been evident in the periphery of Eurozone. During the past few years one after the other Italy, Greece, Spain, Portugal and Ireland have been politically functioning on the brink of the abilities of their party systems.

As noted in the introduction, Draghi completed his vision for Europe, proposing also the creation of a common pan-European fiscal instrument, he said … “such an instrument (a Eurozone budget) could take: from the provision of supranational public goods – like security, defense or migration – to a fully-fledged fiscal capacity”. It may not be by chance that with a difference of a few hours -10 May for Macron, 11 May for Draghi – the two proposed detailed and identical reforms about how the Eurozone can avoid being wasted away in a few years. Each of them explained what is needed to be done, the way they knew best; Macron in political terms and Draghi with solid economic reasoning.

The question remains though, if they can force Germany to accept the reality that Eurozone cannot go on creating surpluses only for this country.

 

Advertising

Advertising

Advertising

Advertising

Featured Stings

Stopping antimicrobial resistance would cost just USD 2 per person a year

Berlin favours economic and social disintegration in certain Eurozone countries

Global Citizen – Volunteer Internships

Better air pollution data is helping us all breathe easier. Here’s how

Preventing and resolving conflicts must form ‘backbone’ of collective efforts – UN chief

Public opinion misled by the Commission on air transport safety

Parliament pushes for cleaner cars on EU roads by 2030

Britain’s May won the first round on the Brexit agreement with the EU

Mainland Europe adopts Germanic cartel business patterns

70 years after the Universal Declaration of Human Rights, this is why we need dignity more than ever

Afghanistan: UN mission condemns deadly attack near Kabul airport

France is bringing back national service

Further reforms will promote a more inclusive and resilient Indonesian economy

Schengen: new rules for temporary checks at national borders

A Sting Exclusive: “Paris and beyond: EU action and what COP21 should deliver”, Green MEP Keith Taylor discusses from Brussels 

3 ways governments and carmakers can keep up with the future of transport

Alcoholic drinks: Commission tables update of rules governing alcohol excise duties

The West – the EU and the US – is writing off Turkey’s Erdogan

Immigrant integration policies have improved but challenges remain

MEPs agree on new rules to tax digital companies’ revenues

Banks can fight financial crime. But we can’t do it alone

An American duel in Brussels: Salesforce against Microsoft over Linkedin deal

OECD Donor countries need to reform development finance to meet 2030 pledge

From diamonds to recycling: how blockchain can drive responsible and ethical businesses

Nature is our strongest ally in ensuring global water security

The future of crypto-assets, from opportunities to policy implications

A Sting Exclusive: “Europe needs decisive progress for stronger cybersecurity”, EU Commissioner Gabriel highlights from Brussels

Ceasefire holds in Tripoli, but core problems remain, says UN Libya mission chief

Draghi, Letta: All Eurozone countries must be able to borrow like Germany

Macron crowned king of Europe in Washington D.C.; just a working meeting with Trump for Merkel

Entrepreneurship in a newly shaped Europe: what is the survival kit for a young Catalan and British entrepreneur in 2018?

The Oslo model: how to prepare your city for the electric-vehicle surge

Venezuelan exodus to Ecuador reaches record levels: UN refugee agency steps up aid

FROM THE FIELD: A UN peacekeepers-eye view of DR Congo

In Bali, UN chief Guterres outlines importance of international financial cooperation for sustainable development

European Commission recommends to the European Council (Article 50) to find that decisive progress has been made in Brexit negotiations

CHALLENGING THE ZEITGEIST OF DIGITAL – Change making projects innovate mobile support for refugees, inclusive environments, early breast cancer detection and more

How a new approach to meat can help end hunger

EU’s tougher privacy rules: WhatsApp and Facebook set to be soon aligned with telcos

EU cracks under the weight of its policy on the Ukraine-Russia nub

False promises to Small and Medium Enterprises

Summer JADE Meeting 2015: We came curious, we left inspired

EU Commission retracts on the Chinese solar panel case

iSting: Change Europe with your Writing

We lack a global framework for saving our environment. Here’s how we change that

Further reforms needed for a stronger and more integrated Europe

UN chief welcomes Taliban’s temporary truce announcement, encourages all parties to embrace ‘Afghan-owned peace’

Have central banks missed the exit train?

Germany resists Macron’s plan for closer and more cohesive Eurozone; Paris and Berlin at odds

World response to AIDS epidemic at a ‘critical juncture’

How India is harnessing technology to lead the Fourth Industrial Revolution

“Two Pack” approved: Is democracy chased away from Brussels?

Devastating storms like Hurricane Florence ‘unusual this far north’: UN weather agency

My twin from Guangzhou

Advocate General ‘outlaws’ Data Retention Directive

MWC 2016 LIVE: GTI shifts to phase two – 5G – after hitting milestones

UN, Somali Government seek $80 million in immediate relief for flood-affected populations

Greece begins a new chapter following the conclusion of its stability support programme

This Norwegian cruise line plans to power its ships with rotting fish

Three ways the Fourth Industrial Revolution is shaping geopolitics

More Stings?

Speak your Mind Here

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out /  Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )

Connecting to %s