Draghi joined Macron in telling Germany how Eurozone must be reformed

French President Emmanuel Macron delivered a momentous speech after receiving the Charlemagne Prize. Sited behind Macron, ECB President Mario Draghi a former laureate of the Charlemagne Prize, looks on. Aix-la-Chapelle, 11 May 2018. (French Presidency work – snapshot from a video).

Mario Draghi the President of ECB, speaking at the European University Institute in Florence, on 11 May 2018, must have been under the influence of the idealistic aura of this Florentine learning institution. He went as far as proposing political policies, bravely overstepping his role as central banker of Eurozone. Draghi asked for an effective “European deposit insurance scheme”. He also proposed the creation of “an additional fiscal instrument to maintain convergence during large shocks” in Eurozone.

Those are two clearly set ideas. The first is about a credible and adequately financed common euro area bank deposit guarantee scheme. The second one is tantamount to a Financial Ministry and minister in Brussels, with a macro-economically important budget. Both proposals are identical to Emmanuel Macron’s ideas about how to reform and save the European Union. The French President reiterated and amplified his well known proposals on 10 May in Aix-la-Chapelle, while receiving the Charlemagne Prize in front of an audience comprising Angela Merkel and other top European leaders. This time, Macron didn’t chew his words and told the German Chancellor, who was sitting just a few meters from him, what her country must do. Let’s take one thing at a time.

The Italian banking crisis

Returning to Florence, we find Draghi asking for the creation of a true ‘Banking Union’ with a powerful Single Resolution Fund (to resolve failing banks), backed by the financial powers of all the sovereign governments of euro area, including the one based in…Berlin. Currently, this Fund is financed by small annual contributions paid by the lenders, being overtly incapable of confronting a real banking crisis, but this arrangement is totally inadequate and cannot save even the smallest bank. During the last three years, this was evident in the case of Italy.

During that period, Italy, despite been over-indebted, was forced to alone save a number of failing banks. In this way the Italian government dived deeper into debt and consequently was unable to adequately support economic growth. This had devastating effects on the country’s political developments. The result is an impossible government, being currently about to be formed by the ‘5 Star Movement’ party led by a comedian, plus the anti-European, extreme right populists of ‘Lega’. All of them promised greener grass, to win the 4 March elections.

They will end up blaming Europe for their treachery and the failure to honor promises. Politically then, it’s not an exaggeration to predict that Italy’s future in the euro area is at stake. Such a dreadful prospect may trigger the unravelling of the entire euro money block.

An effective backstop

Obviously, this is what Draghi wanted to avoid, when he said “What is still missing, however, is a backstop for the Single Resolution Fund. That is why in all the other large jurisdictions, such as the US, the UK and Japan, resolution funds are backstopped by the fiscal authority”. He expertly identified here a critical deficiency of Eurozone. Clearly, the euro area lacks a real banking union, with a dependable risk sharing mechanism, backed by all member states’ financial resources.

If such a mechanism existed, it would have reduced the country risk for all and every member state. In 2014, Germany blocked the enactment of such a powerful financial instrument, by compromising the Single Resolution Fund. As the Fund was finally shaped in June of that year, currently, it cannot handle in an orderly and low cost way the resolution of any bank.

What is missing?

Undeniably, if there was a common EU and strong fiscal authority and a euro area bank deposit guarantee system in Brussels, the Italian banking crisis would have cost much less. By the same token, it wouldn’t have produced today’s political stalemate, which may prove to be a bomb in the foundations of Eurozone and the EU.

Germany is the only economic power which blocked the creation of such a pan-European and effective Single Resolution Fund. In 2014, Berlin opposed the creation of such a Fund, fearing that it will be only Germany to pay for it. Now however, Macron says France is ready to undertake the proportionately right part of the financial burden to mend that, so Germany cannot go on stubbornly using this argument.

France can fund it

Last week in Aix-la-Chapelle, the French leader said it clearly, speaking after he received the prestigious Charlemagne Prize. He stated, “C’est pourquoi je crois dans un budget européen beaucoup plus ambitieux, dans lequel la France prendra sa part de contribution…défendre une convergence économique, fiscal… C’est pour cela que je crois à une zone euro plus forte, plus intégrée, avec un budget propre permettant les investissements et la convergence parce que c’est le seul moyen de permettre à tous les États qui souhaitent aller de l’avant, d’aller en cette direction”. (“That’s why I believe in a much more ambitious European budget, for which France is to undertake her contribution…to defend an economic, fiscal convergence…That’s why i believe in a much stronger euro area, more integrated, with its own budget which will support investments and convergence because this is the only means to open the way to all member states who wish go forwards, to go in this direction”).

He had more to say though. Macron also pointedly said that the German surpluses are the deficits of somebody else and this cannon go on: “en Allemagne, il ne peut pas y avoir un fétichisme perpétuel pour les excédents budgétaires et commerciaux parce qu’ils sont toujours faits aux dépens de certains autres”. (“In Germany, the ongoing fetishism for budget and trade surpluses cannot go on any more, because they are always accumulated on certain other people’s expenses”).

At the expenses of others

Every year, Germany turns out a trade surplus of some tens of euro billions with her EU partners. Unfortunately, she hoards those colossal funds and refuses to recycle them. Thus in the long run, this country inhibits the entire euro area’s economic system from functioning properly. Actually, Germany neutralizes the abilities of her trade partners to grow. The political side effects have been evident in the periphery of Eurozone. During the past few years one after the other Italy, Greece, Spain, Portugal and Ireland have been politically functioning on the brink of the abilities of their party systems.

As noted in the introduction, Draghi completed his vision for Europe, proposing also the creation of a common pan-European fiscal instrument, he said … “such an instrument (a Eurozone budget) could take: from the provision of supranational public goods – like security, defense or migration – to a fully-fledged fiscal capacity”. It may not be by chance that with a difference of a few hours -10 May for Macron, 11 May for Draghi – the two proposed detailed and identical reforms about how the Eurozone can avoid being wasted away in a few years. Each of them explained what is needed to be done, the way they knew best; Macron in political terms and Draghi with solid economic reasoning.

The question remains though, if they can force Germany to accept the reality that Eurozone cannot go on creating surpluses only for this country.

 

the sting Milestones

Featured Stings

Can we feed everyone without unleashing disaster? Read on

These campaigners want to give a quarter of the UK back to nature

How to build a more resilient and inclusive global system

Stopping antimicrobial resistance would cost just USD 2 per person a year

Top UN rights official urges transparent probe into Khashoggi disappearance

Neither side stands to benefit in US-China trade spat, UN says

Questions and Answers on issues about the digital copyright directive

EP President calls for emergency assistance to migrants stranded on Open Arms boat

Women’s rights face global pushback from conservativism, fundamentalism – UN experts warn

Team Europe: €34 billion disbursed so far to tackle COVID-19 in partner countries

Here’s why China’s trade deal with Mauritius matters

Data marketplaces can transform economies. Here’s how

Eurozone: Even good statistics mean deeper recession

Primary Care: a way to provide Palliative Care in Universal Health Coverage

To solve the climate crisis, we need an investment revolution

Creating shared value: an opportunity and challenge for entrepreneurship

Bulgaria: MEPs call for EU values to be fully and unconditionally respected

JADE President opens JADE Spring Meeting 2014

Being blinded by labels stops social change. Art helps us see a better future

As threats to IoT devices evolve, can security keep up?

Innovation and entrepreneurship can cut waste and deliver the circular economy

EU Budget 2020 conciliation talks suspended

Global immunization is having its annual check-up. What can we learn?

UN cooperation with League of Arab States ‘pivotal’, UN chief tells Security Council

EU Budget 2019 to focus on young people

Three experts on why eradicating plastic pollution will help achieve gender equality

Berlin wants to break South’s politico-economic standing

This is where teachers are most (and least) respected

Understanding the gender gap in the Global South

European Parliament approves new copyright rules for the internet

Chile ups foreign bribery enforcement but flawed case resolutions are insufficient to ensure transparency and accountability

India’s economy is an ‘elephant that is starting to run’, according to the IMF

What will Germany look like after the next election?

Half the world’s population is still offline. Here’s why that matters

As G7 calls time on coal, have you checked your supply chain?

Campaign kicks off with High-level Event on #FairInternships

Could 2021 be a turning point for forests and climate change?

New UN Syria envoy pledges to work ‘impartially and diligently’ towards peace

The sustainable fashion revolution is well underway. These 5 trends prove it

Arrest of three Libyans wanted for grave crimes ‘would send strong and necessary message’ to victims, urges top Prosecutor

Rule of Law mechanism applies without further delay as of 1 January, MEPs stress

Indonesia has a plan to deal with its plastic waste problem

Rise in violent conflict shows prevention ‘more necessary than ever’: UN chief

Yemen: ‘A great first step’ UN declares as aid team accesses grain silo which can feed millions

Using CO2 as an industrial feedstock could change the world. Here’s how

Protecting European consumers: toys and cars on top of the list of dangerous products

MEPs call for the protection of fundamental values in the EU and worldwide

The West and Russia accomplished the dismembering and the economic destruction of Ukraine

WHO chief underscores need to address climate change following visit to Bahamas

After the George Floyd protests, what next for racial justice in the US?

80,000 youngsters at risk in DRC after forcible expulsion from Angola: UNICEF

Don’t take African generosity towards refugees for granted, says UN refugee chief

Humanitarian action: New outlook for EU’s global aid delivery challenged by COVID-19

Food choices today, impact health of both ‘people and planet’ tomorrow

From DIY editing to matchmaking by DNA: how human genomics is changing society

How global tech can drive local healthcare innovation in China

Here’s why the tech sector could be the next target for Chinese investment in Africa

Is South Korea set to lose from its FTA with the EU?

Artificial Intelligence raises ethical, policy challenges – UN expert

The future of manufacturing is smart, secure and stable

European Semester Autumn Package: Bolstering inclusive and sustainable growth

Can the world take the risk of a new financial armageddon so that IMF doesn’t lose face towards Tsipras?

GSMA Mobile 360 – Africa: Rise of the Digital Citizen, Kigali 16 – 18 July 2019, in association with The European Sting

Universal Health Coverage will ‘drive progress’ on 2030 Development Agenda

More Stings?

Speak your Mind Here

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out /  Change )

Google photo

You are commenting using your Google account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )

Connecting to %s

%d bloggers like this: