Brexit update: Leave campaign leads race but undecided voters will determine the outcome of the EU referendum

David CAMERON, Prime Minister of the United Kingdom, at the European Council. Shoot location: Brussels – Belgium. Shoot date: 18/12/2015. Copyright: ‘The European Union’.

David CAMERON, Prime Minister of the United Kingdom, at the European Council. Shoot location: Brussels – Belgium. Shoot date: 18/12/2015. Copyright: ‘The European Union’.

The time has come and the British citizens will have to take the faith of their country in their own hands. In just over a week they will decide whether they want to stay or leave the European Union with the rest of the world to wait the outcome with great anxiety.

There have been several opinion polls during the last days and almost all show that the Leave campaign is leading but the undecided voters are the ones to determine the outcome of the EU-UK referendum. Some of the main issues that play crucial role and could influence UK citizens’ minds are the and the growth of the national economy.

Europe wants UK to stay

Will UK be a member of the EU after June 23? Nobody can be sure but that is something that the European leaders and officials want and are doing whatever they can to persuade the British people to stay within the “European family”. Donald Tusk warned that a Brexit vote will cause rise of anti-European power and create negative effects to both economies.

More specifically, the president of the European Council said: “As a historian I fear Brexit could be the beginning of the destruction of not only the EU but also Western political civilisation in its entirety. Every family knows that a divorce is traumatic for everyone. Everyone in the EU, but especially the Brits themselves, would lose out economically.”

What is more, Martin Schulz, the president of the European Parliament, mentioned that problems such as financial crisis, climate change, refugee crisis must be dealt at a European level “with more and better Europe” showing his clear support for the Remain campaign.

Polls reveal Brexit

There have been numerous opinion polls regarding the outcome of the EU-UK referendum with the main finding so far to be that the Brexit side has raised its percentage to a great extent reaching the Remain one.

The TNS online poll of 2.497 people which was published yesterday reveals that 47% of them want UK to leave the EU whereas 40% will vote to stay within the bloc. However, a considerable part of 13% still hasn’t decided or will not vote in the upcoming referendum.

Similar results were shown by the ORB online poll which gives to the Leave campaign a 10 point lead. Another online study (The Opinium) which was conducted in a sample of 2009 voters and published on June 12 for the Observer showed that both sides are close to 43-44% but the undecided voters consist of 13% of the total sample which makes things quite fragile.

Furthermore, the average of the six polls (both online and phone) conducted during the previous week show that both sides are close with the Remain one to maintain a small lead.

Possible UK exit causes financial markets’ volatility

The recent volatility of the world markets with the sterling to decline against almost all main counterparts experiencing a 1.1% decrease has raised serious concerns. The S&P 500 and MSCI World Index’s drop revealed also that the increase of Brexit’s probabilities have contaminated the financial world.

Nevertheless, UK is and will always be influencing the rest of the global markets with or without an EU-exit probability. There will always be uncertainties which will cause turbulences to the financial markets but eventually they will come back to normal in the long-run.

Besides, the European Central Bank (ECB) will pledge to support markets in the event of a Brexit scenario according to a senior central bank official who stated to Reuters that “there will be a statement to do whatever it takes to maintain adequate market liquidity.” The latter shows that the European mechanisms want to be ready in any case and several meetings have been scheduled especially on June 23 and 24 between Mario Draghi and his European peers.

Undecided voters will make the difference

The polls have shown that people are changing their minds according to the latest news and find it difficult to decide what is best for them. The percentage of people who has not yet decided if or what will vote is most likely to reveal the winner of the referendum. One thing is most likely to happen though. Undecided voters in general tend to support the side which preserves their status quo in fear of the unknown and in this case is the Remain side.

All in all, the coming days till the referendum will be crucial and both sides are about to make their last desperate efforts to persuade the remaining undecided Britons to vote in their favor by always looking for what the best for the UK.

Advertising

Advertising

Advertising

Advertising

Advertising

Advertising

Advertising

Advertising

Advertising

Advertising

Advertising

Advertising

Advertising

Advertising

Featured Stings

Syria: Civilians caught in crossfire, UN refugee chief urges Jordan to open its border

A Sting Exclusive: “There can be no global deal on emissions without China and the USA”, Conservative MEP Ian Duncan stresses from Brussels

Vendor Pulse – 2000

Eurozone: Subdued inflation can lead to more recession

A rapid deterioration of the humanitarian situation in the war-torn Yemen

Girls still being treated as aliens in medicine in the 21st century

Statement by the Brexit Steering Group on UK paper on EU citizens in the UK

Europe on the Move: Commission completes its agenda for safe, clean and connected mobility

Bayer’s cross at night (Copyright: Bayer AG)

The EU clears Bayer-Monsanto merger amid wide competition and environmental concerns

A European student just sets the question of the day: What kind of education policies are missing in Europe?

ECOFIN: Choosing between the re-unification of Eurozone and a stalemate

Millions of young lives ‘at risk’ says UN labour chief, calling for an end to child labour

JADE Testimonial #3: Sebastian @ Fundraising

First-ever EU defence industry fund to finance joint development of capabilities

Trump stumbles badly on his Russian openings; Europeans wary of Putin

A Sting Exclusive: “One year on from the VW scandal and EU consumers are still in the dark”, BEUC’s Head highlights from Brussels

Will the European Court of Justice change data privacy laws to tackle terrorism?

“C’est la vie”? French recession and unemployment to linger in Eurozone

ECB: Growth measures even before the German elections

UN official sees ‘unprecedented opportunities’ to make progress on peace in Afghanistan

Happens now in Brussels: Green Week sets the EU and global climate policy agenda

The “Legend of the Sun” wishes you Happy Chinese New Year 2015 from Brussels

MWC 2016 LIVE: The top 5 themes of this year’s Mobile World Congress

Merkel, Mercedes and Volkswagen to abolish European democracy

Ahead of State of the Union the European Youth Forum highlights lack of action on youth employment

On Google antitrust case: “Let’s face it, some companies want to hurt Google and it goes as simple as that”

The South China Sea Arbitration: Illegal, Illegitimate and Invalid

Employers’ organizations work towards improving the enabling environment for sustainable enterprises

A Sting Exclusive: “Climate change and youth inaction: oblivion or nonchalance?”, AIESEC wonders from Brussels

“A global threat lies ahead worsened after the EU’s green light to the Bayer-Monsanto merger”, a Sting Exclusive by the President of Slow Food

Professional practices of primary health care for Brazilian health and gender inequality

MWC 2016 LIVE: Getty chief says one in four new images from phones

The widely advertised hazards of the EU not that ominous; the sting is financial woes

In Finland, speeding tickets are linked to your income

Two shipwrecks add to ‘alarming increase’ in migrant deaths off Libya coast: IOM

Entrepreneurship’s key to success showcased by a serial young entrepreneur

MEPs call on EU countries to end precarious employment practices

Refugee crisis update: EU seeks now close cooperation with Africa while Schulz is shocked to witness live one single wreck full of immigrants

The EU Parliament unanimously rejects Commission’s ideas about ‘seeds’

The role of public affairs in student NGOs

No end to Deutsche Bank’s problems: new litigations in the US and frailty in EU stress test

The missiles fired against Damascus, Syria divided Europe deeply

UN member states express their will to tackle global migration but specific actions are still missing

Some Prevailing Arguments and Perceptions over the South China Sea Issue Are Simply Wrong

Fear casts again a cold, ugly shadow over Europe; Turkey sides with Russia

Italy’s rescue operation Mare Nostrum shuts down with no real replacement. EU’s Triton instead might put lives at risk

This tool shows you which cities will flood as ice sheets melt

JADE Testimonial #2: Jacques @ Process mapping

Eurozone very close to a sustainable growth path

ILO warns of widespread insecurity in the global labour market

Why Renewable Energy is an attractive investment

Leading Palestinian legislator calls for ‘new international engagement’ in two-state solution

Why the ECB had to clarify it caters for the entire Eurozone not just Germany?

“Leaked” TTIP document breaks post 8th negotiations round silence and opens door to critics

Is poverty and exclusion the necessary price for EU’s recovery?

The Italian ‘no’ and France’s Fillon to reshape Europe; Paris moves closer to Berlin

“Working together to make a change at the COP 21 in Paris”, an article by Ambassador Yang of the Chinese Mission to EU

Germany may have a stable and more cooperative government

Autonomous vehicles could clog city centres: a lesson from Boston

EU and US close to an agreement on data sharing amid European citizens’ concerns

More Stings?

Speak your Mind Here

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out /  Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )

w

Connecting to %s