What lessons to draw from the destruction of Syria

José Manuel Barroso, President of the European Commission, received Ekmeleddin Ihsanoglu, Secretary General of the Organisation of the Islamic Conference (OIC). Discussion focused on security challenges in the Middle East, from Syria to the Sahel. Both of them concurred that political polarisation and huge economic and social needs had to be addressed to prevent instability from growing. Yet three major countries there, Iraq, Syria and Egypt are in the verge of destruction, bloody civil war and effective partitioning. (EC Audiovisual Services, 25/06/2013).

José Manuel Barroso, President of the European Commission, received Ekmeleddin Ihsanoglu, Secretary General of the Organisation of the Islamic Conference (OIC). Discussion focused on security challenges in the Middle East, from Syria to the Sahel. Both of them concurred that political polarisation and huge economic and social needs had to be addressed to prevent instability from growing. Yet three major countries there, Iraq, Syria and Egypt are in the verge of destruction, bloody civil war and effective partitioning. (EC Audiovisual Services, 25/06/2013).

Three major Middle East countries, Iraq, Egypt and Syria are in a transitory phase or in deadly civil war and all of them being threatened with effective partitioning. After Iraq, the US supported actively by Britain, is now planning an attack to Syria which will certainly lead to a partitioning of the country. In this case the Americans have in their side also France and to lesser degree Germany. As for Egypt the scenario has just begun to unfold and the country will be tested in every respect, with social cohesion being already the first victim. Egyptians are now divided mainly by religion.

Divide them as you may

The attacks on Christians and the fight between the traditional Muslim majority against the army and a westernised minority has taken the dimensions of a real civil war. It’s highly possible that Egypt would end up like Syria. Actually the two countries have a lot in common and were for a brief period from 1958 until 1961 united in one statehood, the United Arab Republic. They share a common past being governed for decades by secular and ‘enlightened’ militaries like Gamal Abdel Nasser and Hafez al-Assad, the father of the present ruler of Syria.

Probably the two countries will share also a common future in a complete destruction. It’s certain that if Egypt was not in such a deplorable situation, Syria wouldn’t end up like that. Even Hosni Mubarak could have saved Syria from the claws of the West. Now Russia and China would ‘negotiate’ with the West the destruction of Syria and Egypt. Yesterday afternoon the two countries walked out from the UN Security Council and left the other three permanent members, the US, Britain and France to continue planning a military intervention in Syria.

Probably with a good concession from the West, China may abstain like in the invasion of Libya or present no active resistance. Russia is a different case given its strong military presence in Syria. If Moscow feels that it can actively and successfully resist the Western military assault, America and Europe would pay a very dear price to Kremlin in order to secure its neutrality. Syria is the last place in the whole Middle East where Russia has a presence. If the West manages to uproot the Russians from Syria the entire region will come under NATO’s sword. It’s more than certain that after Syria it will come the turn of Egypt to pay the price for still being in one-piece.

Russia will resist

In view of that Russia will resist with all it’s got the US-European plans for Syria. In this game there is also the factor of Iran. Tehran has already threatened that in case of a Western assault in Syria, it will be Israel to pay the price. The thing is however that Tell-Aviv can successfully protect itself and Iran cannot deliver its threats that easily. Let alone that in such a case the Iranian uranium enrichment installations would come under fire.

At the end of the day it’s only Russia that not only has a lot to lose in Syria but at the same time Moscow has the ability to effectively protect its interests there. The question is up to which point the Kremlin will choose to confront the West militarily.

Unfortunately the lesson to be drawn from this serious affair is that the West is playing the power game in the Middle East, using military force at will. Iraq and Libya were the first in the row. There is not escape for the smaller players and it’s only the guns that count. Nobody cares any more about international law and the right of self-determination. The UN has become a power brokerage facility offering good environment for negotiations between those who have access to this market place. The game includes also the control of media and free use of provocations of any kind. As for those who don’t count for anything, like Tunisia, the world lets them to rot alone.

Advertising

Advertising

Advertising

Advertising

Advertising

Advertising

the sting Milestone

Featured Stings

Can we feed everyone without unleashing disaster? Read on

These campaigners want to give a quarter of the UK back to nature

How to build a more resilient and inclusive global system

Stopping antimicrobial resistance would cost just USD 2 per person a year

On Youth Participation: Are we active citizens?

Corporate tax remains a key revenue source, despite falling rates worldwide

JADE President opens JADE Spring Meeting 2014

Venezuela: ‘A worrying destabilizing factor in the region’, Bachelet tells Human Rights Council

Mental health and suicide prevention: why focus on primary care

Restoring government control across Central African Republic is ‘key’ to lasting peace, stability – UN envoy

Don’t take African generosity towards refugees for granted, says UN refugee chief

UN agencies call for more resettlement and end to detention of asylum seekers in Libya

EU-Russia summit in the shadows of Kiev’s fumes

Make no mistake: the purpose of business is to serve society

Brexiteer May gets lip-service from Trump and Turkish promises from Erdogan

A digital tax sounds like a great idea. Here’s why it might not be universally popular

UN report on Syria conflict highlights inhumane detention of women and children

Ukraine: The West and Russia negotiate shares of influence

EU Parliament: It takes real banks to fight unemployment and recession

Service and Sacrifice: Guinean peacekeepers make their mark in Mali

China and China-EU Relations in the New Era

ITU Telecom World 2018 takes place in Durban, South Africa

The US-Mexico trade deal a threat for others, Trump to single out China, Europe

Greferendum: the biggest political gaffe in western modern history to tear Europe apart? #Grexit #Graccident

UN Security Council offers Yemen Special Envoy ‘their full support’

MWC 2016 LIVE: EC adds Brazil to partner tally

Road safety: Data show improvements in 2018 but further concrete and swift actions are needed

The Sting’s Values

China in my eyes

Service and Sacrifice: Ugandan ‘Blue Helmets’ support UN efforts to bring peace to Somalia

Bundesbank’s President Weidmann criticises France and the EU. Credibility at risk?

Why women aren’t allowed to work

The 100-year climate catastrophe of Mont Blanc

Economic sentiment and business climate stagnate in miserable euro area

‘Stand united against anti-Muslim hatred’ urges Guterres, after mosque shootings in New Zealand leave 49 dead

Prisons are failing. It’s time to find an alternative

Still recovering from devastating cyclones, Mozambique, in UN address, warns of global warming’s ‘nefarious consequences’

5 things to know about the Western Balkans

Commission presents EU-Vietnam trade and investment agreements for signature and conclusion

What keeps me up at night? Two strategists reply

Collaboration and connectivity at ITU Telecom World 2019

Hungary: people born in the 2020s won’t have legal rights any more to buy tobacco

UN highlights profound implication of population trends on sustainable development

The mental health of health professionals: is it worth it?

The world just took a step closer to eradicating polio

Global Citizen – Volunteer Internships

A few, or rather two, trade and economic alliances may rule our brave new world

Upgraded EU visa information database to increase security at external borders

MEPs want to ensure sufficient funding for Connecting Europe’s future

Privatisation and public health: a question of Human Rights

Why a healthy planet and a healthy economy go hand-in-hand

“If the job market doesn’t exist, then even the most brilliant Youth Guarantee cannot ensure a job to these young people”, European Youth Forum Secretary General Giuseppe Porcaro on another Sting Exclusive

The future of suicide and depression prevention

These countries have some of the highest voter turnout in the world

On World Day to Combat Desertification, UN shines spotlight on ‘true value’ of land

To beat hunger and combat climate change, world must ‘scale-up’ soil health – UN

UN chief laments ending of Cold War-era disarmament treaty

10 reasons why today’s cyber leaders are tomorrow’s world leaders

The world to teach Germans to…un-German

Europe’s richest regions actively seek investment from China’s biggest banks

How distorted is the EU labour market by this crisis?

Boris to end up in jail if he loses the next elections?

‘€1 million’ fines for rescue boats prompts UN concern for future sea operations

Why artificial intelligence is learning emotional intelligence

More Stings?

Speak your Mind Here

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out /  Change )

Google photo

You are commenting using your Google account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )

Connecting to %s