Europe, US and Russia haggle over Ukraine’s convulsing body; Russians and Americans press on for an all out civil war

On 16-17 October 2014 the 10th Asia Europe Meeting (ASEM10) took place in Milan, hosted by The European Union. Snapshot of the high level meeting with Russia and Ukraine. From left to right: François Hollande, President of France, Vladimir Putin President of Russia, Matteo Renzi, Italian Prime Minister, Petro Poroshenko, President of Ukraine and Angela Merkel, German Federal Chancellor. (European Council, Council of the European Union, Audiovisual Services, Shoot date: 16/10/2014).

On 16-17 October 2014 the 10th Asia Europe Meeting (ASEM10) took place in Milan, hosted by The European Union. Snapshot of the high level meeting with Russia and Ukraine. From left to right: François Hollande, President of France, Vladimir Putin President of Russia, Matteo Renzi, Italian Prime Minister, Petro Poroshenko, President of Ukraine and Angela Merkel, German Federal Chancellor. (European Council, Council of the European Union, Audiovisual Services, Shoot date: 16/10/2014).

Germany and France are alarmed at the prospect that the Americans could turn Ukraine into an unbelievable inferno, by overtly delivering heavy armaments to Kiev. In such an event implications on Europe’s security will be vast. The French President François Hollande and the German Chancellor Angela Merkel rushed to Moscow last Friday and met the Russian President Vladimir Putin for five hours to unsuccessfully propose a peace plan to him. Before that, the two made a brief stop-over in Kiev to see Ukrainian President Petro Poroshenko.

With the ‘Minsk Agreement’ if not dead at least on its last legs, the latest military developments in South Eastern Ukraine sounded the alarms all over Europe and further afar. The successful winter offensive of the pro-Russian separatists, obviously supported by Moscow, if not waged by the Russians themselves, has come really close to gaining a strategic advantage by capturing Debaltseve. This is a key railway hub town connecting Donetsk and Luhansk, the two main strongholds areas of the separatists.

The West deeply divided

In view of that, the US said last week they are ready for the first time to openly supply Kiev with heavy weaponry, cunningly termed as ‘defensive’, in order to reverse the territorial gains of the other side. Until this day though the West, the European Union including Britain and the US alike have denied equipping the Kiev military forces with heavy armaments. In this way the West reserved the argumentative right to forbid Russia from doing the same for the pro-Russian separatists and at the same time obliged Moscow to support its side only covertly.

Understandably, if this stage is surpassed and the two sides of the Ukrainian civil war are overtly armed by the West and Russia respectively, the conflict would immediately take a much more explosive character. The whole affair will then assume the shape of a military confrontation between the West and Russia albeit indirect, but enough to remind the whole world of the bad old days of the Vietnam War. In such a case the ‘new not so cold war’ in Europe will be a frightening reality. Europe will suffer again a destructive East-West division at a great economic and otherwise cost.

Who wants Europe divided?

At the same time the US will assume again the role of super ‘protector’ of the western and central European countries against the Russian threat. This will deprive the EU from its painstakingly won independent role in global affairs at an immeasurable cost, and alleviate again the US at the apex of the only super power. Russia is not and cannot pretend to be a new USSR.

The plain truth however is that Europe cannot accuse the US of forcing things towards this direction. The initial pact, which started interfering in Ukraine’s internal affairs some ten years ago, comprised an eager EU and a not so much enthusiastic US. That accord cannot be relinquished now. After 1995 it was probably Europe rather than the US behind the forces which drove Ukraine to its present abysmal state. On the other side of the fence, Russia and Putin cannot back off from supporting the ten million of Russian speakers in Eastern Ukraine and let them be crushed under the revengeful intentions of Kiev’s nationalists. No Moscow government can do that and remain in power one more day. In many ways all sides are now hooked in a conflict that may take uncharted ways.

Europe ready to compromise

In view of all that, Merkel and Hollande rushed to Moscow last Friday to discuss with Putin a new map of Ukraine. After the latest advances of the pro-Russian forces on the ground though, the Kremlin’s demands for quasi-independence and new geography in the eastern parts of Ukraine have been grossly inflated.

The Merkel-Holland proposal was then briefly rejected by Putin. Of course Kiev’s views on geography and self-rule in the eastern provinces are pivotal and Petro Poroshenko’s ideas may differ widely from what the EU duo can generously accept as a final settlement with Moscow. On top of that, Kiev’s demands may be boosted by the Americans serving their own strategy against Russia.

It is also true that differences may exist even between the France – Germany pair. Berlin shows an unbending intransigence in rejecting the American plan to supply Kiev with more arms. Angela Merkel went in details arguing why such a move can lead Europe to a dreadful dead-end. So strong were her arguments against the US proposal, that some American politicians accused her of turning her back to an ally, the Kiev government, in distress. Paris from its side doesn’t say much against the American plans.

The Munich Conference

All that took place last Saturday in Germany, at the 51st Munich Security Conference. This is an annual gathering of world leaders to discuss global security. Nevertheless this time it became an anti-Russian parade. The Munich gathering gave the Europeans a good indication where the US wants to drive the Ukrainian civil war. If Petro Poroshenko supports the American strategy, Europe would pay a very dear price for a very long time and Germany even more so.

Unfortunately, all those dealings are taking place on the ruins of lives of millions of people and on thousands of graves. What Russia and the West are bargaining for now is large chunks of Ukrainian home-land. At the end of the day, Europe and more so Germany, is now ready to pay a price for peace, at the expenses of Ukraine’s map. Nonetheless, the Americans appear quite aggressive and want a continuation of the conflict. Alas, Kiev is incapable to come up with a compromise to end the carnage.

It’s not the first time in history the poor Ukrainians are encouraged to kill each other, as if the Dnieper River divides them in two different nations.

 

Advertising

Advertising

Advertising

Advertising

Advertising

Advertising

Advertising

Advertising

Advertising

Advertising

Advertising

Advertising

Advertising

the European Sting Milestones

Featured Stings

These campaigners want to give a quarter of the UK back to nature

How to build a more resilient and inclusive global system

Stopping antimicrobial resistance would cost just USD 2 per person a year

MEPs urge UK to break current deadlock

China will be the world’s top tourist destination by 2030

What business leaders can learn from jazz

Parliament sets conditions on EU-China investment deal

Antitrust: Commission consults stakeholders on guidance for national courts when handling disclosure information

EU and World Health Organisation team up to boost access to health services in developing countries

Nigel Farage and Boris Johnson: who forced the two ‘brave’ Brexiteers to quit?

Online shopping across the EU to be easier from 3 December

EU Elections: new rules to prevent breaches of data used to influence elections

Cloud computing under scrutiny in the EU?

What could a no-deal Brexit mean for developing countries?

Right2Water initiative: Is the Commission ready to listen to citizens?

OECD leading multilateral efforts to address tax challenges from digitalisation of the economy

Sexual abuse of elderly likely to ‘grow dramatically’, UN expert says

EU’s Finance Ministers draft plan to raise tax bills of online giants like Google and Amazon

UN ceasefire monitoring chief tours Yemeni port of Hudaydah

Deepening Europe’s Economic and Monetary Union: Commission takes stock of progress

Gender Equality as a platform to improve Medicine

Every bite of burger boosts harmful greenhouse gases: UN Environment Agency

The Commission neglects the services sector and favours industry

Prisoner executions in Belarus ‘simply unacceptable’, says UN rights body

Ocean life faces ‘onslaught of threats’ from human activity, but tools exist to save it

FROM THE FIELD: Faces and Voices of Conflict

Primary Health Care: in a world of specializations

State aid: Commission approves €380 million German rescue aid to Condor

Financiers can turn the world into a dirty and dangerous place

Is it impossible to place the banks under control?

Why banks escape from competition rules but not pharmaceutical firms

MEPs back plans to promote water reuse for agricultural irrigation

World response to AIDS epidemic at a ‘critical juncture’

2nd Global Consultation on Migrant Health 21-23 February 2017 in Sri Lanka

Air pollution could be responsible for 1 in 7 new cases of diabetes

Discussion at Europe House: Brexit & Food

Spirit unlimited

How UN cultural treasures helped set the stage for Game of Thrones

Hunger, displacement and disease: 4.3 million people remain in dire need of aid in Chad

EU to negotiate an FTA with Japan

Half the population of Yemen at risk of famine: UN emergency relief chief

Madagascar: UN chief commends leaders, State institutions following ‘historic milestone’ election

EU Court of Justice invalidates Safe Harbour and the game for thousands US businesses suddenly changes

It’s time to ditch our obsession with trade deficits. Here’s why

COP21 Breaking News_08 December: Cities & Regions Launch Major Five-Year Vision to Take Action on Climate Change

Who holds the key to the future of biotechnology? You do

Utmost hypocrisy emitted by EU’s energy regulation

European Parliament approves more transparency and efficiency in its internal rules

The health of the human being in coexistence with a transformative biosphere

How biotechnology is evolving in the Fourth Industrial Revolution

These are the cities where people work the longest hours

EU budget 2020: Commission focuses its proposal on jobs, growth and security

Why Nordic nations are the best places to have children

Britain and Germany change attitude towards the European Union

Mandela, ‘true symbol of human greatness’, celebrated on centenary of his birth

Four ways innovation can help to beat heart disease

EU is now giving Google new monopolies to the detriment of European citizens and Internet companies

Take action on air pollution to save lives, and the planet, urges UN chief

European Union disenchanted with Turkey

Christmas spending: Who can afford not to cut?

Entrepreneur India Convention 2016: Bringing together Entrepreneurs, Investors, Startups and SMEs

6 ways to ensure AI and new tech works for – not against – humanity

How digital remittances can help drive sustainable development

More Stings?

Speak your Mind Here

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out /  Change )

Google photo

You are commenting using your Google account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )

Connecting to %s